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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 88.13%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 3.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.12%) and 0-4 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.93%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-0 (1.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Almere City | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
3.53% ( -1.49) | 8.33% ( -1.73) | 88.13% ( 3.21) |
Both teams to score 42.69% ( -4.98) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.66% ( 0.93) | 25.34% ( -0.93) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.63% ( 1.19) | 45.36% ( -1.2) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.3% ( -5.5) | 55.7% ( 5.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.7% ( -3.5) | 88.29% ( 3.49) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.35% ( 0.64) | 3.64% ( -0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
84.29% ( 2.08) | 15.7% ( -2.09) |
Score Analysis |
Almere City | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
1-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.46) Other @ 1.2% Total : 3.53% | 1-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.74) 0-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.63) Other @ 0.47% Total : 8.33% | 0-3 @ 12.28% ( 1.08) 0-2 @ 11.12% ( 0.45) 0-4 @ 10.17% ( 1.35) 1-3 @ 7.19% ( -0.53) 0-5 @ 6.74% ( 1.19) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.84) 1-4 @ 5.96% ( -0.12) 1-5 @ 3.95% ( 0.12) 0-6 @ 3.72% ( 0.81) 1-6 @ 2.18% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.56) 0-7 @ 1.76% ( 0.45) 2-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.35) 2-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.17) 1-7 @ 1.03% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.77% Total : 88.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |