Eredivisie | Gameweek 32

May 5, 2024 at 11.15am UK

Philips Stadion

PSV
4 - 2
Sparta

Bakari (19'), Bakayoko (26'), Boscagli (67'), Teze (78')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Metinho (8'), Boscagli (29' og.)
Lauritsen (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 0-8 PSV
Thursday, April 25 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

103

Top scorers

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 1-0 Volendam
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-0 Sparta Rotterdam

PSV have been nearly flawless at Philips Stadion this season, and we cannot formulate a convincing argument of why that would change on Sunday afternoon versus Sparta Rotterdam. Boeren know that a point will be enough to clinch their first Eredivisie crown in six years, but we reckon that Bosz's men will go the extra mile to secure a comfortable win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 78.96%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 8.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.58%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
78.96% ( -0.28)	12.73% ( 0.27)	8.32% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 56.37% (

-1.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.22% (

-1.48)

25.78% (

1.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.07% (

-1.94)

45.93% (

1.94)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.86% (

-0.33)

5.14% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.6% (

-1.01)

20.4% (

1.01)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.42% (

-1.19)

40.58% (

1.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.83% (

-1.09)

77.17% (

1.1)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 78.96%

Sparta Rotterdam 8.32%

Draw 12.73%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
2-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.47) 3-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.45) 4-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.16) 5-0 @ 4% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.16) 6-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.08) 6-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.13) 5-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.14) Other @ 5.73% Total : 78.96%	1-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.21% Total : 12.73%	1-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.79% Total : 8.32%