MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 20:07:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 32
May 5, 2024 at 11.15am UK
Philips Stadion
Sparta Rotterdam logo

PSV
4 - 2
Sparta

Bakari (19'), Bakayoko (26'), Boscagli (67'), Teze (78')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Metinho (8'), Boscagli (29' og.)
Lauritsen (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heerenveen 0-8 PSV
Thursday, April 25 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 1-0 Volendam
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-0 Sparta Rotterdam

PSV have been nearly flawless at Philips Stadion this season, and we cannot formulate a convincing argument of why that would change on Sunday afternoon versus Sparta Rotterdam. Boeren know that a point will be enough to clinch their first Eredivisie crown in six years, but we reckon that Bosz's men will go the extra mile to secure a comfortable win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 78.96%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 8.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.58%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawSparta Rotterdam
78.96% (-0.283 -0.28) 12.73% (0.27 0.27) 8.32% (0.016 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.37% (-1.333 -1.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.22% (-1.483 -1.48)25.78% (1.486 1.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.07% (-1.938 -1.94)45.93% (1.941 1.94)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.86% (-0.333 -0.33)5.14% (0.3361 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.6% (-1.006 -1.01)20.4% (1.008 1.01)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.42% (-1.192 -1.19)40.58% (1.196 1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.83% (-1.093 -1.09)77.17% (1.095 1.1)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 78.96%
    Sparta Rotterdam 8.32%
    Draw 12.73%
PSV EindhovenDrawSparta Rotterdam
2-0 @ 9.19% (0.47 0.47)
3-0 @ 9.09% (0.268 0.27)
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.163 0.16)
3-1 @ 8.2% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 6.74% (0.05 0.05)
1-0 @ 6.19% (0.447 0.45)
4-1 @ 6.08% (-0.155 -0.16)
5-0 @ 4% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.133 -0.13)
5-1 @ 3.61% (-0.176 -0.18)
4-2 @ 2.74% (-0.164 -0.16)
6-0 @ 1.98% (-0.076 -0.08)
6-1 @ 1.79% (-0.13 -0.13)
5-2 @ 1.63% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 5.73%
Total : 78.96%
1-1 @ 5.58% (0.231 0.23)
2-2 @ 3.74% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 2.09% (0.194 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 12.73%
1-2 @ 2.52% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 1.88% (0.118 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 8.32%

How you voted: PSV vs Sparta

PSV Eindhoven
92.0%
Draw
4.0%
Sparta Rotterdam
4.0%
25
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 8
Sparta
0-4
PSV

de Guzman (45+1'), Brym (45+1'), Neghli (54')
Tillman (51'), Bakayoko (59'), Vertessen (80'), De Jong (88')
Dest (90')
May 6, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 31
Sparta
0-1
PSV
El Ghazi (74')
Jan 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 15
PSV
0-0
Sparta
Feb 27, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 22
Sparta
1-2
PSV
Thy (32')
de Kamps (39'), van Crooij (62'), Engels (63'), Beugelsdijk (90+5'), Meijers (90+6')
Verschueren (54')
Junior (59'), Doan (67')
Max (20'), Teze (38'), Sangare (38')
Oct 3, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 8
PSV
2-1
Sparta
Sangare (82'), Thomas (86')
Sangare (45+1')
Thy (90')
Abels (65'), Okoye (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2Feyenoord1384131131828
3FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
4Ajax1182125111426
5FC Twente1264224111322
6Go Ahead Eagles135351820-218
7AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
8Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
9NECNijmegen125161910916
10Willem II124351312115
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen134271326-1314
13Heracles133461425-1113
14Groningen123361219-712
15PEC Zwolle123361422-812
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City13139630-246
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1312101233-215


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!