MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 17:52:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 2, 2024 at 7pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
PSV

Excelsior
0 - 2
PSV


Baas (22')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Junior (58'), Bakayoko (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 Excelsior
Saturday, March 30 at 7pm in Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-1 PSV
Saturday, March 30 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-3 PSV Eindhoven

 After the weekend's disappointment in Nijmegen, PSV will be raring to get back to winning ways versus an Excelsior side who are in the midst of a concerning winless spell. The Kralingers have failed to win their last four Eredivisie home matches, and we are fully expecting that statistic to stretch to five matches on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 70.6%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 12.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-3 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 2-1 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawPSV Eindhoven
12.66% (-0.327 -0.33) 16.74% (-0.035 -0.04) 70.6% (0.363 0.36)
Both teams to score 56.84% (-0.934 -0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.11% (-0.694 -0.69)32.88% (0.695 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.41% (-0.80200000000001 -0.8)54.59% (0.804 0.8)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.97% (-0.954 -0.95)38.02% (0.955 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.21% (-0.934 -0.93)74.79% (0.93599999999999 0.94)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.71% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)8.29% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.07% (-0.239 -0.24)28.93% (0.241 0.24)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 12.66%
    PSV Eindhoven 70.6%
    Draw 16.74%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 3.67% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-0 @ 3.05% (0.034 0.03)
2-0 @ 1.47% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-1 @ 1.18% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 12.66%
1-1 @ 7.59% (0.049 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-0 @ 3.15% (0.115 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 16.74%
0-2 @ 9.77% (0.268 0.27)
1-2 @ 9.45% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 8.11% (0.185 0.19)
0-1 @ 7.85% (0.251 0.25)
1-3 @ 7.84% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 5.05% (0.092 0.09)
1-4 @ 4.88% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.79% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-5 @ 2.52% (0.034 0.03)
1-5 @ 2.43% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 2.36% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-5 @ 1.18% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-6 @ 1.04% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
1-6 @ 1.01% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 70.6%

How you voted: Excelsior vs PSV

SBV Excelsior
4.5%
Draw
15.9%
PSV Eindhoven
79.5%
44
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 17
PSV
3-1
Excelsior
De Jong (13', 17', 69')
Sanches Fernandes (82')
> Preview
Apr 8, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 28
PSV
4-0
Excelsior
De Jong (12'), Simons (78'), Silva (82'), Gutierrez (87')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 4
Excelsior
1-6
PSV
Horemans (74')
Veerman (2'), Sangare (29', 45'), Simons (55', 84'), Gakpo (59')
Til (68')
> Preview
Mar 2, 2019 6.45pm
Gameweek 24
Excelsior
0-2
PSV
Bergwijn (8', 54')
Lozano (24')
Dec 7, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
PSV
6-0
Excelsior
De Jong (17', 92'), Van der Meer (34' og.), Mattheij (52' og.), Malen (80'), Bergwijn (89')
Sainsbury (60')

Bruins (55'), van der Meer (64'), El Hamdaoui (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237
> Eredivisie Full Table


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