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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 70.6%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 12.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-3 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 2-1 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
12.66% ( -0.33) | 16.74% ( -0.04) | 70.6% ( 0.36) |
Both teams to score 56.84% ( -0.93) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.11% ( -0.69) | 32.88% ( 0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.41% ( -0.8) | 54.59% ( 0.8) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.97% ( -0.95) | 38.02% ( 0.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.21% ( -0.93) | 74.79% ( 0.94) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.71% ( -0.09) | 8.29% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.07% ( -0.24) | 28.93% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.81% Total : 12.66% | 1-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.2% Total : 16.74% | 0-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 8.11% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 7.84% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 5.05% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 4.88% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.11) 0-5 @ 2.52% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 2.43% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.08) 2-5 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) 0-6 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) 1-6 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.31% Total : 70.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |