

PSV4 - 0Excelsior
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, April 4 at 7pm in KNVB Beker
Saturday, April 1 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
for
We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-1 SBV Excelsior
PSV are averaging over three goals per game on home turf this term, and we can see them putting on another superb attacking display en route to a routine victory come the sound of the final whistle in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 89.66%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 3.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.25%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (1.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
89.66% (![]() | 7.14% (![]() | 3.2% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.67% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
80.16% (![]() | 19.83% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
62.14% (![]() | 37.85% (![]() |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.37% (![]() | 2.62% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
87.81% (![]() | 12.18% (![]() |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.93% (![]() | 52.06% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.95% (![]() | 86.05% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
3-0 @ 10.98% (![]() 4-0 @ 10% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.06% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 7.28% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.17% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 6.53% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 5.91% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 4.98% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 4.75% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 4.42% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 7-1 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 8-0 @ 1.04% ( ![]() 6-2 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 3.91% Total : 89.65% | 1-1 @ 3.25% (![]() 2-2 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 0.59% Total : 7.14% | 1-2 @ 1.06% (![]() Other @ 2.14% Total : 3.2% |