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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 6 | 6 |
5 | SBV Excelsior | 2 | 4 | 6 |
6 | FC Twente | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Heerenveen | 4 | 5 | 8 |
4 | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 6 | 6 |
5 | SBV Excelsior | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 58.13%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 21.17% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.1%) and 0-1 (7.67%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
21.17% ( 0.68) | 20.7% ( 0.48) | 58.13% ( -1.16) |
Both teams to score 61.51% ( -0.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.33% ( -1.36) | 35.67% ( 1.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.27% ( -1.52) | 57.73% ( 1.52) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70% ( -0.18) | 29.99% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.89% ( -0.21) | 66.11% ( 0.21) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.87% ( -0.74) | 12.13% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.28% ( -1.59) | 37.71% ( 1.59) |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.94% Total : 21.17% | 1-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.7% | 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 6.86% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 5.69% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 3.62% ( -0.2) 0-4 @ 3% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.13) 1-5 @ 1.53% ( -0.13) 0-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.1) 2-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.44% Total : 58.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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