MX23RW : Friday, September 20 22:57:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2022 at 1.30pm UK
 
PSV

SBV Excelsior
1 - 6
PSV

Horemans (74')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Veerman (2'), Sangare (29', 45'), Simons (55', 84'), Gakpo (59')
Til (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: SBV Excelsior 0-3 PSV Eindhoven

PSV will be looking to serve up a quick response to a damaging defeat in midweek against opponents who have an abysmal record in this fixture. We are backing the away side to get the job done comprehensively, scoring plenty of goals en route. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 58.13%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 21.17% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.1%) and 0-1 (7.67%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawPSV Eindhoven
21.17% (0.675 0.68) 20.7% (0.481 0.48) 58.13% (-1.158 -1.16)
Both teams to score 61.51% (-0.677 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.33% (-1.361 -1.36)35.67% (1.359 1.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.27% (-1.52 -1.52)57.73% (1.518 1.52)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70% (-0.178 -0.18)29.99% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89% (-0.215 -0.21)66.11% (0.21299999999999 0.21)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.87% (-0.744 -0.74)12.13% (0.742 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.28% (-1.588 -1.59)37.71% (1.587 1.59)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 21.17%
    PSV Eindhoven 58.13%
    Draw 20.7%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 5.56% (0.163 0.16)
1-0 @ 4.38% (0.272 0.27)
2-0 @ 2.64% (0.151 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.23% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.06% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 21.17%
1-1 @ 9.24% (0.315 0.32)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.64% (0.243 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.7%
1-2 @ 9.75% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 8.1% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
0-1 @ 7.67% (0.297 0.3)
1-3 @ 6.86% (-0.168 -0.17)
0-3 @ 5.69% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-3 @ 4.13% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-4 @ 3.62% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-4 @ 3% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-4 @ 2.18% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-5 @ 1.53% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-5 @ 1.27% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-5 @ 0.92% (-0.085 -0.08)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 58.13%

How you voted: SBV Excelsior vs PSV

SBV Excelsior
11.5%
Draw
11.5%
PSV Eindhoven
76.9%
26
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2019 6.45pm
Dec 7, 2018 7.45pm
PSV
6-0
SBV Excelsior
De Jong (17', 92'), Van der Meer (34' og.), Mattheij (52' og.), Malen (80'), Bergwijn (89')
Sainsbury (60')

Bruins (55'), van der Meer (64'), El Hamdaoui (67')
Feb 7, 2018 5.30pm
PSV
1-0
SBV Excelsior
Lozano (17')
Brenet (69'), Bergwijn (76')

Fortes (42'), Mattheij (69'), Vermeulen (82')
Nov 26, 2017 1.30pm
SBV Excelsior
1-2
PSV
Koolwijk (52')
Mattheij (62'), Fortes (86')
Mattheij (13' og.), Lozano (41')
Isimat-Mirin (82')
Jan 14, 2017 6.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Patriots
3-24
Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1AZ AlkmaarAZ65101621416
2PSV EindhovenPSV55002031715
3FC UtrechtUtrecht431063310
4Groningen52309549
5Willem II52218448
6FC Twente52217528
7Ajax32017256
8Feyenoord41309546
9Sparta RotterdamSparta51315506
10NECNijmegen52035506
11Fortuna SittardSittard520359-46
12Go Ahead Eagles520348-46
13NAC BredaNAC Breda5203511-66
14PEC Zwolle6114610-44
15Heerenveen5113613-74
16Heracles503227-53
17Almere CityAlmere City5023212-102
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk5005215-130


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