MX23RW : Friday, April 25 14:01:32| >> :60:181:181:
Heracles Almelo
Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs | Second Round | 2nd Leg
May 21, 2022 at 7pm UK
Erve Asito
Excelsior

Heracles
1 - 3
SBV Excelsior

Bakis (28')
Hoogma (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dallinga (47'), Wieffer (63'), Agrafiotis (83')
Horemans (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs clash between Heracles and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heracles 1-3 SBV Excelsior
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

We said: Heracles 2-0 SBV Excelsior

The onus is firmly on the home side to take control of proceedings as they set out to make up a three-goal deficit. While we expect them to come out on top in this one, we can see them just falling short on aggregate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
HeraclesDrawSBV Excelsior
46.54% (-0.49 -0.49) 23.38% (0.050999999999998 0.05) 30.08% (0.438 0.44)
Both teams to score 61.34% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)40.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)62.4% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.5% (-0.18899999999999 -0.19)17.5% (0.189 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52% (-0.328 -0.33)48% (0.329 0.33)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (0.282 0.28)25.65% (-0.283 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.45% (0.384 0.38)60.54% (-0.383 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 46.54%
    SBV Excelsior 30.08%
    Draw 23.38%
HeraclesDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.82% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.82% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.075 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 46.54%
1-1 @ 10.64% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.38%
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.072 0.07)
0-1 @ 6.11% (0.049 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.16% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.29% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.86% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.045 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.029 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 30.08%

How you voted: Heracles vs SBV Excelsior

Heracles
Draw
SBV Excelsior
Heracles
58.3%
Draw
8.3%
SBV Excelsior
33.3%
12
Head to Head
May 18, 2022 5.45pm
May 12, 2019 1.30pm
Heracles
4-5
SBV Excelsior
Dalmau (23', 51', 59'), Duarte (62')
Rossmann (43')
Omarsson (4', 45', 91'), Mattheij (71'), Eckert (89')
Dec 22, 2018 7.45pm
Apr 18, 2018 6.45pm
SBV Excelsior
2-2
Heracles
Messaoud (7'), Van Duinen (51' pen.)
Messaoud (58'), de Wijs (93')
Monteiro (92', 94')
Droste (7')
van Ooijen (49')
Aug 26, 2017 7.45pm
Heracles
2-2
SBV Excelsior
Kuwas (15'), Gladon (52')
Propper (10')
Bruins (16'), Caenepeel (63')
Bruins (43'), Koolwijk (90')
Hadouir (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool33247275314479
2Arsenal341813363293467
3Manchester CityMan City34187966432361
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest33186953391460
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331851062441859
6Chelsea33169858401857
7Aston Villa3416995449557
8Bournemouth3313101052401249
9Fulham33139114845348
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton33121295353048
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Everton33814113440-638
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd33108153846-838
15Wolverhampton WanderersWolves33115174861-1338
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs331141861511037
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3399153755-1836
18Ipswich TownIpswich3349203371-3821
19Leicester CityLeicester3346232773-4618
20Southampton3325262478-5411


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