Eredivisie | Gameweek 29

May 7, 2022 at 7pm UK

Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II
2 - 0
Heracles

Dammers (15'), Hornkamp (17')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Sonnenberg (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Willem II and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

Last Six:

Last Game: Willem II 3-0 Utrecht
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Fortuna Sittard	33	-32	32
17	Willem II	33	-28	30
18	PEC Zwolle	33	-25	27

Heracles

Last Six:

Last Game: Heracles 1-3 SBV Excelsior
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	RKC Waalwijk	33	-13	35
14	Heracles	33	-14	34
15	Sparta Rotterdam	33	-20	32

We said: Willem II 2-1 Heracles

Willem II have a good record in this fixture and will be hoping for history to repeat itself as they go in search of three points this weekend. We fancy the home side to prevail over their visitors at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 45.59%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 27.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.

Result
Willem II	Draw	Heracles
45.59%	27.29%	27.11%

Both teams to score 46.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.02%

57.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.32%

78.67%

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.61%

25.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.81%

60.18%

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.85%

37.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.07%

73.93%

Score Analysis

Willem II 45.58%

Heracles 27.11%

Draw 27.29%

Willem II	Draw	Heracles
1-0 @ 12.92% 2-0 @ 8.86% 2-1 @ 8.78% 3-0 @ 4.05% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.39% 4-1 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.22% Total : 45.58%	1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 9.43% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.29%	0-1 @ 9.34% 1-2 @ 6.34% 0-2 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.53% 2-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.76% Total : 27.11%