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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | Heracles |
44.78% | 25.77% | 29.45% |
Both teams to score 52.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.01% | 50.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.14% | 72.86% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.29% | 22.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.62% | 56.38% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.39% | 31.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.99% | 68.01% |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | Heracles |
1-0 @ 10.64% 2-1 @ 9.08% 2-0 @ 7.89% 3-1 @ 4.49% 3-0 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.13% Total : 44.78% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 7.18% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.27% 1-2 @ 7.06% 0-2 @ 4.76% 1-3 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.82% Total : 29.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
7 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |