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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Willem II |
47.43% | 23.51% | 29.05% |
Both teams to score 60.19% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.74% | 41.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.35% | 63.65% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.37% | 17.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.78% | 48.22% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.07% | 26.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.74% | 62.26% |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Willem II |
2-1 @ 9.38% 1-0 @ 8.24% 2-0 @ 7.15% 3-1 @ 5.43% 3-0 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 3.56% 4-1 @ 2.36% 4-0 @ 1.8% 4-2 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.84% Total : 47.43% | 1-1 @ 10.8% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 4.75% 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 7.09% 0-1 @ 6.23% 0-2 @ 4.09% 1-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 1.79% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.05% Total : 29.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |