Eredivisie | Gameweek 1

Sep 12, 2020 at 5.45pm UK

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen
2 - 0
Willem II

Woudenberg (22'), Bochniewicz (75')
Batista Meier (17'), van der Heide (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Llonch (19'), Nelom (32'), Saglam (44')

Coverage of the Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and Willem II.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	Willem II
47.43%	23.51%	29.05%

Both teams to score 60.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.74%

41.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.35%

63.65%

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.37%

17.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.78%

48.22%

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.07%

26.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.74%

62.26%

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 47.43%

Willem II 29.05%

Draw 23.5%

Heerenveen	Draw	Willem II
2-1 @ 9.38% 1-0 @ 8.24% 2-0 @ 7.15% 3-1 @ 5.43% 3-0 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 3.56% 4-1 @ 2.36% 4-0 @ 1.8% 4-2 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.84% Total : 47.43%	1-1 @ 10.8% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 4.75% 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.5%	1-2 @ 7.09% 0-1 @ 6.23% 0-2 @ 4.09% 1-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 1.79% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.05% Total : 29.05%