Eredivisie | Gameweek 25

Mar 18, 2022 at 7pm UK

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen
2 - 0
Heracles

Sarr (59'), Bakker (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Basacikoglu (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

Last Six:

Last Game: AZ 2-0 Heerenveen
Sunday, May 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	NEC	33	-13	38
9	Heerenveen	33	-15	38
10	Go Ahead Eagles	33	-12	36

Heracles

Last Six:

Last Game: Heracles 1-3 SBV Excelsior
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	RKC Waalwijk	33	-13	35
14	Heracles	33	-14	34
15	Sparta Rotterdam	33	-20	32

We said: Heerenveen 1-1 Heracles

While Heracles will come in with more momentum, thanks to their recent improvement, the home side have, at least, started to strengthen up at the back and will be keen to put the losing run behind them. Those consecutive clean sheets, combined with the visitors' poor away record, could result in a share of the spoils in Heerenveen. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 54.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 21.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	Heracles
54.39%	24.35%	21.26%

Both teams to score 49.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.32%

51.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.54%

73.46%

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.08%

18.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.58%

50.42%

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.99%

39.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.26%

75.73%

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 54.38%

Heracles 21.26%

Draw 24.34%

Heerenveen	Draw	Heracles
1-0 @ 12.28% 2-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 5.68% 3-1 @ 5.35% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-0 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 2.23% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.07% Total : 54.38%	1-1 @ 11.56% 0-0 @ 7.38% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.87% Total : 24.34%	0-1 @ 6.95% 1-2 @ 5.44% 0-2 @ 3.27% 1-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.42% 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.44% Total : 21.26%