We said: RKC Waalwijk 1-0 Heerenveen
As with most games involving sides in the lower echelons of the table, we are expecting a nervy and cagey affair with both teams focusing on not losing rather than going for all three points. However, Waalwijk have a slight edge playing in front of their fans, and we can see them nicking this one by the odd goal.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.