Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.