Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.