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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 14
Nov 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Home Park
Portsmouth

Plymouth
1 - 0
Portsmouth

Obafemi (82')
Whittaker (4'), Gray (25'), Gyabi (34'), Pleguezuelo (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lang (67'), Botts (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Plymouth
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Portsmouth

Neither of these two sides have enjoyed the best of starts to the 2024-25 campaign, but we believe the home advantage could play a major role in helping Plymouth Argyle get over the line with a crucial win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 37.41% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.22%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawPortsmouth
37.41% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 24.01% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 38.58% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Both teams to score 61.44% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.09% (0.021999999999998 0.02)40.91% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.7% (0.021000000000001 0.02)63.3% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.09% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)21.91% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.83% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)55.17% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.67% (0.027000000000001 0.03)21.33% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.72% (0.038000000000004 0.04)54.29% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 37.41%
    Portsmouth 38.58%
    Draw 24.01%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawPortsmouth
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 7.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.24%
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 37.41%
1-1 @ 10.96%
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.67% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 24.01%
1-2 @ 8.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 7.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 3.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 38.58%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Portsmouth

Plymouth Argyle
68.1%
Draw
13.0%
Portsmouth
18.8%
69
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Plymouth
3-1
Portsmouth
Cosgrove (24'), Azaz (70'), Hardie (90+4')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Portsmouth
2-2
Plymouth
Koroma (41'), Hackett-Fairchild (90+4')
Raggett (74' og.), Ennis (79')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Plymouth
1-0
Portsmouth
Hardie (65')
Sessegnon (43'), Cooper (90+5')

Romeo (33'), Thompson (34')
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Portsmouth
2-2
Plymouth
Brown (6'), Raggett (90+5')
Raggett (19'), Curtis (24'), Harness (32')
Hardie (48', 80')
Grant (4'), Edwards (32'), Houghton (45+1')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 28
Portsmouth
2-2
Plymouth
Curtis (86'), Bolton (87')
Cannon (72'), Naylor (84')
Jephcott (71', 82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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