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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 37.41% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.22%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Portsmouth |
37.41% ( -0.02) | 24.01% ( -0) | 38.58% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 61.44% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.09% ( 0.02) | 40.91% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.7% ( 0.02) | 63.3% ( -0.02) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.09% ( -0) | 21.91% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.83% ( -0) | 55.17% ( 0.01) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.67% ( 0.03) | 21.33% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.72% ( 0.04) | 54.29% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Portsmouth |
2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.41% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.01% | 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.22% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 38.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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