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Championship header 2

League One
Plymouth Argyle
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Portsmouth

Plymouth
3 - 1
Portsmouth

Cosgrove (24'), Azaz (70'), Hardie (90+4')
Matete (73'), Butcher (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hackett-Fairchild (79')
Raggett (85'), Bishop (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-0 Plymouth
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

Portsmouth

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 Barnsley
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Portsmouth

 Plymouth have been in impressive form at Home Park this season, and after winning 13 of their 14 home league games, we think they will edge out Portsmouth to claim a narrow victory on Saturday, Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 21.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawPortsmouth
55.19% (-0.14 -0.14) 22.81% (0.026999999999997 0.03) 21.99% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 55.29% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)44.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)66.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.03% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)15.97% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.73% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)45.27% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.8% (0.107 0.11)34.2% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.1% (0.116 0.12)70.9% (-0.119 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 55.19%
    Portsmouth 21.99%
    Draw 22.81%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 10.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.19% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.62% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 55.19%
1-1 @ 10.75% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.46% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.81%
0-1 @ 5.86% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.77% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.14% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.06% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 21.99%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Portsmouth

Plymouth Argyle
85.0%
Draw
10.0%
Portsmouth
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Portsmouth
2-2
Plymouth
Koroma (41'), Hackett-Fairchild (90+4')
Pack (43')
Raggett (74' og.), Ennis (79')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Plymouth
1-0
Portsmouth
Hardie (65')
Sessegnon (43'), Cooper (90+5')

Romeo (33'), Thompson (34')
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Portsmouth
2-2
Plymouth
Brown (6'), Raggett (90+5')
Raggett (19'), Curtis (24'), Harness (32')
Hardie (48', 80')
Grant (4'), Edwards (32'), Houghton (45+1')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Portsmouth
2-2
Plymouth
Curtis (86'), Bolton (87')
Cannon (72'), Naylor (84')
Jephcott (71', 82')
Nov 16, 2020 7.45pm
Plymouth
2-2
Portsmouth
Raggett (11' og.), Opoku (78')
Opoku (71'), Reeves (85')
Marquis (63' pen.), Naylor (65')
Marquis (33'), Cannon (73'), Naylor (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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