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Championship header 2

League One
Plymouth Argyle
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Portsmouth

Plymouth
3 - 1
Portsmouth

Cosgrove (24'), Azaz (70'), Hardie (90+4')
Matete (73'), Butcher (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hackett-Fairchild (79')
Raggett (85'), Bishop (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-0 Plymouth
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

Portsmouth

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 Barnsley
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Portsmouth

 Plymouth have been in impressive form at Home Park this season, and after winning 13 of their 14 home league games, we think they will edge out Portsmouth to claim a narrow victory on Saturday, Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 21.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawPortsmouth
55.19% (-0.14 -0.14) 22.81% (0.026999999999997 0.03) 21.99% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 55.29% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)44.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)66.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.03% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)15.97% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.73% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)45.27% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.8% (0.107 0.11)34.2% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.1% (0.116 0.12)70.9% (-0.119 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 55.19%
    Portsmouth 21.99%
    Draw 22.81%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 10.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.19% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.62% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 55.19%
1-1 @ 10.75% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.46% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.81%
0-1 @ 5.86% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.77% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.14% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.06% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 21.99%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Portsmouth

Plymouth Argyle
85.0%
Draw
10.0%
Portsmouth
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Portsmouth
2-2
Plymouth
Koroma (41'), Hackett-Fairchild (90+4')
Pack (43')
Raggett (74' og.), Ennis (79')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Plymouth
1-0
Portsmouth
Hardie (65')
Sessegnon (43'), Cooper (90+5')

Romeo (33'), Thompson (34')
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Portsmouth
2-2
Plymouth
Brown (6'), Raggett (90+5')
Raggett (19'), Curtis (24'), Harness (32')
Hardie (48', 80')
Grant (4'), Edwards (32'), Houghton (45+1')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Portsmouth
2-2
Plymouth
Curtis (86'), Bolton (87')
Cannon (72'), Naylor (84')
Jephcott (71', 82')
Nov 16, 2020 7.45pm
Plymouth
2-2
Portsmouth
Raggett (11' og.), Opoku (78')
Opoku (71'), Reeves (85')
Marquis (63' pen.), Naylor (65')
Marquis (33'), Cannon (73'), Naylor (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wrexham7511146816
2Birmingham CityBirmingham6510136716
3Barnsley74121210213
4Charlton AthleticCharlton741275213
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield7403118312
6Lincoln CityLincoln6321106411
7Stockport CountyStockport6321106411
8Peterborough UnitedPeterborough73221211111
9Blackpool73221313011
10Mansfield TownMansfield63211111011
11Wycombe WanderersWycombe63121210210
12Exeter CityExeter63038629
13Northampton TownNorthampton62228718
14Wigan AthleticWigan72236518
15Stevenage72235508
16Leyton Orient7214911-27
17Reading6213710-37
18Crawley TownCrawley621358-37
19Bolton WanderersBolton6213711-47
20Bristol Rovers7214611-57
21Rotherham UnitedRotherham713359-46
22Burton Albion6042810-24
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury7106512-73
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge6015613-71
> League One Full Table


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