EFL Trophy | Quarter-Finals

Jan 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Memorial Stadium

Bristol Rovers
0 - 2
Plymouth

Loft (85'), Thomas (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Waine (24'), Hardie (32')
Matete (71'), Lonwijk (77'), Ennis (88')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Bristol Rovers and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Bolton 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bristol Rovers 0-1 Plymouth Argyle

Bristol Rovers have been in very good form recently, but given that Plymouth Argyle are the highest-ranked side in the competition, it would be unwise to bet against them. Games involving the Pilgrims have not contained many goals as of late, so it would not be a surprise if the game went all the way to penalties in a stalemate, but we think that they will eke out a 1-0 victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Bristol Rovers	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
39.84% ( 0.46)	24.18% ( 0.02)	35.98% ( -0.49)

Both teams to score 60.66% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.13% (

-0.18)

41.86% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.73% (

-0.18)

64.27% (

0.18)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.86% (

0.14)

21.13% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.02% (

0.22)

53.98% (

-0.22)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.91% (

-0.34)

23.08% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.07% (

-0.5)

56.92% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Bristol Rovers 39.84%

Plymouth Argyle 35.98%

Draw 24.17%

Bristol Rovers	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.72% Total : 39.84%	1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.17%	1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.26% Total : 35.98%