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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 60.71%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 18.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
60.71% ( 1.76) | 21.03% ( -0.28) | 18.25% ( -1.48) |
Both teams to score 55.13% ( -1.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.31% ( -1.01) | 41.68% ( 1.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.91% ( -1.03) | 64.08% ( 1.03) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.71% ( 0.2) | 13.28% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.89% ( 0.41) | 40.1% ( -0.41) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.58% ( -2.15) | 36.41% ( 2.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.8% ( -2.24) | 73.2% ( 2.24) |
Score Analysis |
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
2-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.58) 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.51) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.44) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.24) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.28% Total : 60.71% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.03% | 1-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.33) 0-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.54% Total : 18.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |