MX23RW : Friday, March 14 15:23:58| >> :600:223251:223251:
Stockport County
FA Cup | Second Round Replays
Dec 7, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Edgeley Park
Charlton Athletic

Stockport
3 - 1
Charlton

Collar (25', 73', 81' pen.)
Rydel (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wright (7' og.)
Campbell (49'), Forster-Caskey (69'), Mitchell (77'), Dobson (80'), Clare (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's FA Cup clash between Stockport County and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 0-1 Cheltenham
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Stockport County 2-1 Charlton Athletic

Stockport will enter this match full of confidence following their strong victory over Hartlepool last time out, and we are expecting the League Two outfit to secure a narrow win here to progress to the third round of the FA Cup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawCharlton Athletic
49.77% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 24.62% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 25.61% (0.09 0.09)
Both teams to score 53.61% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.36% (0.088000000000001 0.09)48.64% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.24% (0.079999999999998 0.08)70.75% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.43% (0.0010000000000048 0)19.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.51% (0.00099999999999767 0)51.48% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.65% (0.12100000000001 0.12)33.34% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.03% (0.132 0.13)69.97% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 49.77%
    Charlton Athletic 25.61%
    Draw 24.61%
Stockport CountyDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 10.64% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.68% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.19% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 4.72% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.12%
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 49.77%
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.52% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.61%
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.42% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.94% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.44% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 25.61%

How you voted: Stockport vs Charlton

Stockport County
Draw
Charlton Athletic
Stockport County
57.7%
Draw
17.1%
Charlton Athletic
25.2%
111
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Second Round
Charlton
2-2
Stockport
Sessegnon (23'), Morgan (39')
Kirk (6')
Hussey (3'), Hippolyte (90+7')
Mar 6, 2010 3pm
Dec 12, 2009 3pm
Stockport
1-2
Charlton
Elliot (90' og.)
Poole (11'), Turnbull (56'), Johnson (77')
Baker (90')
Sodje (13'), Wagstaff (74')
Basey (57'), Sam (71')
rhs 2.0
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