FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Valley

Charlton
4 - 1
Coalville Town

Payne (24', 81'), Stockley (45+3'), Aneke (90')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Chambers (52')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Charlton Athletic and Coalville Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlton Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Charlton 2-1 Brighton U21s
Wednesday, November 2 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Charlton Athletic 3-0 Coalville Town

Coalville have done remarkably well to get to this stage but we think this tie will be a bridge too far for them. The Valley has become somewhat of a fortress for Charlton too - they have only lost once at home so far this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 69.1%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Coalville Town had a probability of 13.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Coalville Town win it was 1-2 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton Athletic	Draw	Coalville Town
69.1% ( 0.09)	17.6% ( -0.02)	13.31% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 55.46% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.46% (

-0.05)

35.54% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.41% (

-0.05)

57.59% (

0.05)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.7% (

0.01)

9.31% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.6% (

0.02)

31.4% (

-0.02)

Coalville Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.16% (

-0.12)

38.85% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.42% (

-0.12)

75.58% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Charlton Athletic 69.1%

Coalville Town 13.31%

Draw 17.6%

Charlton Athletic	Draw	Coalville Town
2-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.63% 4-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.53% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.15% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 4.49% Total : 69.1%	1-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.6%	1-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.42% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 13.31%