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Charlton Athletic
League One | Gameweek 8
Oct 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Valley
Exeter City

Charlton
4 - 2
Exeter

Leaburn (20'), Hartridge (24' og.), Aneke (84'), Payne (90+1')
O'Connell (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Stansfield (37'), Nombe (90+5' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 0-2 Exeter
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One

We said: Charlton Athletic 1-3 Exeter City

Although Charlton are unbeaten at home this season, their recent form has not been good, and with Exeter on form and having some good momentum in the league, we expect this result to go their way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawExeter City
40.1% (1.358 1.36) 26.42% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 33.48% (-1.343 -1.34)
Both teams to score 52.42% (-0.21700000000001 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.7% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)52.3% (0.165 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.01% (-0.139 -0.14)73.99% (0.142 0.14)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (0.66199999999999 0.66)25.63% (-0.658 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.48% (0.895 0.9)60.52% (-0.891 -0.89)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.49% (-0.926 -0.93)29.51% (0.929 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47% (-1.147 -1.15)65.52% (1.151 1.15)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 40.09%
    Exeter City 33.48%
    Draw 26.41%
Charlton AthleticDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.29% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 8.55% (0.156 0.16)
2-0 @ 7.01% (0.303 0.3)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.142 0.14)
3-0 @ 3.18% (0.195 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.072 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 40.09%
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.56% (0.05 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 9.23% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-2 @ 7.67% (-0.205 -0.21)
0-2 @ 5.63% (-0.26 -0.26)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.167 -0.17)
0-3 @ 2.29% (-0.169 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 33.48%

How you voted: Charlton vs Exeter

Charlton Athletic
Draw
Exeter City
Charlton Athletic
32.7%
Draw
17.3%
Exeter City
50.0%
52
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
Exeter
1-2
Charlton
Holmes (54')
Reid (58'), Tillson (60')
Clarke (72'), Charles-Cook (79')
Charles-Cook (91')
Crofts (82')
Jan 28, 2012 3pm
Sep 10, 2011 3pm
Feb 19, 2011 3pm
Sep 4, 2010 3pm
Exeter
1-0
Charlton
Harley (90' pen.)
Logan (90')

McCormack (38'), Fry (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham35257358233582
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham36208850302068
4Charlton AthleticCharlton36189947311663
5Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
6Bolton WanderersBolton36186125954560
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading361610105145658
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool36121595448651
12Stevenage36139143437-348
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Exeter CityExeter35127163950-1143
17Bristol Rovers36126183955-1642
18Mansfield TownMansfield36118174150-941
19Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3679203866-2830
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3678213560-2529
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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