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Charlton Athletic
League One | Gameweek 8
Oct 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Valley
Exeter City

Charlton
4 - 2
Exeter

Leaburn (20'), Hartridge (24' og.), Aneke (84'), Payne (90+1')
O'Connell (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Stansfield (37'), Nombe (90+5' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 0-2 Exeter
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One

We said: Charlton Athletic 1-3 Exeter City

Although Charlton are unbeaten at home this season, their recent form has not been good, and with Exeter on form and having some good momentum in the league, we expect this result to go their way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawExeter City
40.1% (1.358 1.36) 26.42% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 33.48% (-1.343 -1.34)
Both teams to score 52.42% (-0.21700000000001 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.7% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)52.3% (0.165 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.01% (-0.139 -0.14)73.99% (0.142 0.14)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (0.66199999999999 0.66)25.63% (-0.658 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.48% (0.895 0.9)60.52% (-0.891 -0.89)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.49% (-0.926 -0.93)29.51% (0.929 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47% (-1.147 -1.15)65.52% (1.151 1.15)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 40.09%
    Exeter City 33.48%
    Draw 26.41%
Charlton AthleticDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.29% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 8.55% (0.156 0.16)
2-0 @ 7.01% (0.303 0.3)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.142 0.14)
3-0 @ 3.18% (0.195 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.072 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 40.09%
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.56% (0.05 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 9.23% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-2 @ 7.67% (-0.205 -0.21)
0-2 @ 5.63% (-0.26 -0.26)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.167 -0.17)
0-3 @ 2.29% (-0.169 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 33.48%

How you voted: Charlton vs Exeter

Charlton Athletic
32.7%
Draw
17.3%
Exeter City
50.0%
52
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
Exeter
1-2
Charlton
Holmes (54')
Reid (58'), Tillson (60')
Clarke (72'), Charles-Cook (79')
Charles-Cook (91')
Crofts (82')
Jan 28, 2012 3pm
Sep 10, 2011 3pm
Feb 19, 2011 3pm
Sep 4, 2010 3pm
Exeter
1-0
Charlton
Harley (90' pen.)
Logan (90')

McCormack (38'), Fry (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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