League One

League One | Gameweek 20

Dec 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

The Valley

Charlton
0 - 1
Cheltenham

FT(HT: 0-0)

May (84')
Bonds (38'), Southwood (90+5')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlton Athletic

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Charlton 2-2 Stockport
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 Cheltenham (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Charlton Athletic 1-2 Cheltenham Town

Charlton were seconds away from passage to the third round of the FA Cup last weekend before a last-minute equaliser from Stockport, with the Addicks' defensive record showing no signs of improving any point soon. Cheltenham have put that awful loss against Alvechurch behind them by going three unbeaten and could be on for another win at The Valley on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 60.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 17.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Charlton Athletic	Draw	Cheltenham Town
60.97% ( -3.31)	21.14% ( 1.24)	17.89% ( 2.07)

Both teams to score 54.03% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.2% (

-1.88)

42.8% (

1.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.8% (

-1.89)

65.2% (

1.89)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.44% (

-1.53)

13.56% (

1.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.34% (

-3.16)

40.66% (

3.16)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.5% (

1.36)

37.49% (

-1.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.72% (

1.31)

74.27% (

-1.31)

Score Analysis

Charlton Athletic 60.97%

Cheltenham Town 17.89%

Draw 21.14%

Charlton Athletic	Draw	Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.64) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.37) 4-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.54) 4-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.39) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.31) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.25) Other @ 3.09% Total : 60.97%	1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.61) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.14%	0-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.57) 1-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.47) 0-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.36) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.36% Total : 17.89%