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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 60.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 17.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
60.97% ( -3.31) | 21.14% ( 1.24) | 17.89% ( 2.07) |
Both teams to score 54.03% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.2% ( -1.88) | 42.8% ( 1.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.8% ( -1.89) | 65.2% ( 1.89) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.44% ( -1.53) | 13.56% ( 1.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.34% ( -3.16) | 40.66% ( 3.16) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.5% ( 1.36) | 37.49% ( -1.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.72% ( 1.31) | 74.27% ( -1.31) |
Score Analysis |
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
1-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.64) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.37) 4-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.54) 4-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.39) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.31) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.25) Other @ 3.09% Total : 60.97% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.61) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.14% | 0-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.57) 1-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.47) 0-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.36) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.36% Total : 17.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |