League One

League One | Gameweek 18

Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
3 - 3
Charlton

Oshilaja (38'), Hamer (45'), Adeboyejo (58')
Taylor (70')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Kirk (26', 36'), Rak-Sakyi (75')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Burton Albion 2-0 Needham Market
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Charlton Athletic

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Charlton (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Burton Albion 0-2 Charlton Athletic

Charlton will be favourites entering this match, and rightly so looking at Burton's form. We struggle to see the Brewers having any joy against the Addicks, who have the chance to close the gap to the teams in the playoff places. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Charlton Athletic
37.26% ( 0.03)	26.14% ( -0.01)	36.6% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 53.77% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.24% (

0.03)

50.76% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.34% (

0.02)

72.66% (

-0.02)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.52% (

0.03)

26.48% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.33% (

0.04)

61.67% (

-0.04)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.14% (

-0)

26.86% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.83%

62.17%

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 37.26%

Charlton Athletic 36.6%

Draw 26.13%

Burton Albion	Draw	Charlton Athletic
1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 37.26%	1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.13%	0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.69% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.12% Total : 36.6%