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League One | Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Burton Albion

Peterborough
1 - 1
Burton Albion

FT(HT: 0-0)
Adeboyejo (75')
Brayford (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Peterborough United 2-0 Burton Albion

It will not be a straightforward game for Peterborough by any means, but they should have enough to pick up the win here. Burton are improving but we still expect them to fall short in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 65.79%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 14.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawBurton Albion
65.79% (0.018999999999991 0.02) 19.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 14.74% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.65% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)41.12% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)63.51% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)11.68% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.24% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)36.76% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.61% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)40.39% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.99% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)77.01% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 65.78%
    Burton Albion 14.74%
    Draw 19.47%
Peterborough UnitedDrawBurton Albion
2-0 @ 10.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 10.12%
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 7.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 7.06% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 4.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.72%
5-1 @ 1.63%
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 65.78%
1-1 @ 9.18% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-0 @ 4.72% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 19.47%
0-1 @ 4.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 4.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 1.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 14.74%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Burton Albion

Peterborough United
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Burton Albion
20.0%
15
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Burton Albion
2-1
Peterborough
Hemmings (54'), Carter (58')
Smith (6'), Brayford (68'), Carter (90+3')
Burrows (90+4')
Beevers (57')
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Peterborough
2-2
Burton Albion
Clarke-Harris (10'), Ward (48')
Mason (89')
Hemmings (32', 60')
Gilligan (58'), Akins (62'), O'Toole (71')
Sep 8, 2020 7pm
Peterborough
3-3
Burton Albion
Peterborough win 5-4 on penalties
Clarke (3'), Reed (23'), Mason (68')
Reed (90'), Hamilton (90+6')
Lawless (44'), Powell (52', 55')
Wallace (77')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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