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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Port Vale |
47.37% ( 0.09) | 25.01% ( -0.01) | 27.61% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 54.05% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.13% ( -0) | 48.86% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.04% ( -0) | 70.95% ( -0) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.34% ( 0.03) | 20.66% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.76% ( 0.06) | 53.24% ( -0.06) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.13% ( -0.06) | 31.87% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.69% ( -0.07) | 68.31% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 47.37% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.58% 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 27.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 4 |
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