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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Port Vale

Burton Albion
0 - 2
Port Vale

FT(HT: 0-0)
Garrity (49'), Harrison (90+1')
Coverage of the League One clash between Burton Albion and Port Vale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 50.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 22.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawPort Vale
22.57% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08) 26.48% (0.607 0.61) 50.95% (-0.52699999999999 -0.53)
Both teams to score 45.12% (-1.716 -1.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.78% (-2.201 -2.2)58.23% (2.202 2.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.13% (-1.757 -1.76)78.87% (1.758 1.76)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.59% (-1.328 -1.33)41.42% (1.331 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.08% (-1.194 -1.19)77.93% (1.196 1.2)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02% (-1.153 -1.15)22.98% (1.156 1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.23% (-1.723 -1.72)56.77% (1.726 1.73)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 22.57%
    Port Vale 50.95%
    Draw 26.47%
Burton AlbionDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 8.39% (0.392 0.39)
2-1 @ 5.44% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-0 @ 3.7% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.6% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.18% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.09% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 22.57%
1-1 @ 12.33% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 9.52% (0.769 0.77)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.236 -0.24)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 13.99% (0.68 0.68)
0-2 @ 10.29% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.193 -0.19)
0-3 @ 5.05% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-3 @ 4.45% (-0.254 -0.25)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-4 @ 1.86% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 50.95%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Port Vale

Burton Albion
28.6%
Draw
42.9%
Port Vale
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-2
Burton Albion
Cullen (53')
Gibbons (43'), Bennett (83'), Amoo (92')
Boyce (9'), Fraser (62')
Akins (79'), Daniel (91')
Oct 9, 2018 7.45pm
Mar 19, 2016 3pm
Port Vale
0-4
Burton Albion

Duffy (45')
Akins (34'), Grant (45' og.), Duffy (50'), Butcher (60')
Oct 24, 2015 3pm
Burton Albion
2-0
Port Vale
Naylor (84'), El Khayati (90')
Naylor (66')
Weir (80')

Ikpeazu (20'), McGivern (32'), Duffy (56'), Dodds (85'), O'Connor (87')
Ikpeazu (26')
rhs 2.0
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