EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Crown Oil Arena

Rochdale
2 - 0
Burton Albion

Ball (86' pen.), Rodney (90+4')
Diagouraga (40')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Powell (30'), Onyango (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Rochdale and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

Last Six:

Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
21	Stockport County	2	-2	0
22	Rochdale	2	-2	0
23	Tranmere Rovers	2	-2	0

Burton Albion

Last Six:

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-4 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Cheltenham Town	2	-2	0
23	MK Dons	2	-2	0
24	Burton Albion	2	-7	0

We said: Rochdale 1-2 Burton Albion

Both managers will be demanding an immediate response from their teams here, and Stockdale does have some youthful attacking options ready to freshen up his XI. The youngsters can seek to take advantage of Burton Albion's depleted backline, but assuming the visitors can keep all 11 men on the pitch, Hasselbaink's men should have what it takes to make it through. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Burton Albion
39.57% ( -0.01)	26.31% ( 0)	34.12% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 52.93% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.29% (

-0.01)

51.71% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.51% (

-0.01)

73.48% (

0.01)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.35% (

-0.01)

25.64% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.46% (

-0.01)

60.54% (

0.01)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.19% (

28.81% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.33% (

64.66% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Rochdale 39.57%

Burton Albion 34.12%

Draw 26.3%

Rochdale	Draw	Burton Albion
1-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 39.57%	1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.39% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.3%	0-1 @ 9.19% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.72% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.23% 0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 34.12%