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Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 3
Aug 13, 2022 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Burton Albion

Accrington
4 - 4
Burton Albion

Pritchard (52'), McConville (57'), Woods (90'), Longelo-Mbule (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Keillor-Dunn (10' pen., 17', 50'), Ahadme (81')
Coverage of the League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Burton Albion.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawBurton Albion
46.31% (0.223 0.22) 25.35% (-0.277 -0.28) 28.35% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 53.5% (0.899 0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.17% (1.161 1.16)49.83% (-1.164 -1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.17% (1.028 1.03)71.83% (-1.028 -1.03)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (0.584 0.58)21.52% (-0.585 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.42% (0.891 0.89)54.58% (-0.892 -0.89)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.18% (0.64500000000001 0.65)31.82% (-0.646 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.74% (0.732 0.73)68.26% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 46.31%
    Burton Albion 28.35%
    Draw 25.34%
Accrington StanleyDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 10.52% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.08% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.74% (0.111 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.14% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.11 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.074 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.59% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 46.31%
1-1 @ 12.04% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 6.85% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.124 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 7.84% (-0.233 -0.23)
1-2 @ 6.9% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.49% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.63% (0.061 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.082 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 28.35%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Burton Albion
4-0
Accrington
Jebbison (28', 50'), Smith (45+4', 49')

Coyle (66'), Mumbongo (82')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Burton Albion
2-1
Accrington
Powell (72'), Brayford (87')
Quinn (56'), Garratt (90+4')
Pritchard (83')
Burgess (76'), Allan (85')
Sep 4, 2020 7.30pm
Burton Albion
1-1
Accrington
Burton Albion win 4-2 on penalties
Akins (32')
Eardley (81')
Burgess (82')
rhs 2.0
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