Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Torino |
33.35% ( -0) | 27.08% ( -0) | 39.58% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 50.33% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.05% ( 0) | 54.95% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.77% ( 0) | 76.23% ( -0) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.08% | 30.92% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.79% | 67.21% |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.86% ( 0) | 27.14% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.46% ( 0) | 62.54% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Torino |
1-0 @ 9.85% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 5.78% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 1.92% Other @ 3.04% Total : 33.35% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.39% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.07% | 0-1 @ 10.94% 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.14% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.64% 0-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 39.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |