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Serie A
Atalanta logo
Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 26, 2024 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Torino logo

Atalanta
3 - 0
Torino

Scamacca (26'), Lookman (43'), Pasalic (71' pen.)
Hien (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Linetty (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 3-0 B. Leverkusen
Wednesday, May 22 at 8pm in Europa League

Torino

All competitions
Last Game: Torino 3-1 AC Milan
Saturday, May 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-0 Torino

 Torino may be tough to beat, but they are far less effective on the road; as the away side will most likely lie deep, Atalanta can play their way into the game following a few days of celebration, before scoring once to post a sixth straight Serie A win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 47.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Torino had a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawTorino
47.96% (0.012 0.01) 26.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.97% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.53% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.84% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)54.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)75.57% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.41% (0.0020000000000095 0)22.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)56.2% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.98% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)36.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.2% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)72.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 47.96%
    Torino 25.97%
    Draw 26.06%
Atalanta BCDrawTorino
1-0 @ 12.1%
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 47.96%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 8.14%
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 8.31% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 6.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 25.97%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Torino

Atalanta BC
75.0%
Draw
11.7%
Torino
13.3%
180
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Torino
3-0
Atalanta
Zapata (22', 90+5'), Sanabria (56' pen.)
Linetty (5'), Buongiorno (45+1')

Scalvini (9'), de Roon (75')
> Preview
Apr 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Torino
1-2
Atalanta
Sanabria (75')
Zappacosta (34'), Zapata (88')
> Preview
Sep 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Atalanta
3-1
Torino
Koopmeiners (45+4' pen., 47', 84' pen.)
Vlasic (77')
> Preview
Apr 27, 2022 7.15pm
Gameweek 20
Atalanta
4-4
Torino
Muriel (18' pen., 84' pen.), De Roon (23'), Pasalic (78')
Freuler (35'), Pasalic (69')
Sanabria (4'), Lukic (36' pen., 63'), Freuler (67' og.)
Lukic (52'), Zima (83')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Torino
1-2
Atalanta
Belotti (79')
Rincon (52'), Bremer (72')
Muriel (6'), Piccoli (90+3')
Demiral (23'), Musso (81')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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