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Serie A
Torino logo
Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Atalanta logo

Torino
1 - 2
Atalanta

Sanabria (75')
Rodriguez (31')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zappacosta (34'), Zapata (88')
Luis Palomino (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Torino and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torino

All competitions
Last Game: Lazio 0-1 Torino
Saturday, April 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Roma
Monday, April 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 0-1 Atalanta BC

 This season, Torino have won only five of their 15 games at home, scoring a mere 12 goals in the process. As Atalanta are apparently clicking into gear at just the right time, they can complete the double over their hosts and pile pressure on teams just above them in the Serie A standings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Torino had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
TorinoDrawAtalanta BC
32.29% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 27.53% (0.0039999999999978 0) 40.18% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.69% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)56.9% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.18% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)77.81% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.37% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)32.63% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.82% (-0.055 -0.05)69.17% (0.050000000000011 0.05)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.27% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)27.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.71% (0.012 0.01)63.29% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Torino 32.29%
    Atalanta BC 40.17%
    Draw 27.52%
TorinoDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 7.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.72% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 32.29%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 9.05% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.52%
0-1 @ 11.6% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.44% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.57% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.18% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 40.17%

How you voted: Torino vs Atalanta

Torino
19.8%
Draw
14.3%
Atalanta BC
65.9%
91
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 4
Atalanta
3-1
Torino
Koopmeiners (45+4' pen., 47', 84' pen.)
Vlasic (77')
Aina (19')
Apr 27, 2022 7.15pm
gameweek 20
Atalanta
4-4
Torino
Muriel (18' pen., 84' pen.), De Roon (23'), Pasalic (78')
Freuler (35'), Pasalic (69')
Sanabria (4'), Lukic (36' pen., 63'), Freuler (67' og.)
Lukic (52'), Zima (83')
Aug 21, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 1
Torino
1-2
Atalanta
Belotti (79')
Rincon (52'), Bremer (72')
Muriel (6'), Piccoli (90+3')
Demiral (23'), Musso (81')
Feb 6, 2021 2pm
gameweek 21
Atalanta
3-3
Torino
Ilicic (14'), Sirigu (19' og.), Muriel (21')
Luis Palomino (41'), Pasalic (86'), Toloi (87')
Belotti (42'), Bremer (45+1'), Bonazzoli (84')
Zaza (24'), N'Koulou (27')
Sep 26, 2020 2pm
gameweek 2
Torino
2-4
Atalanta
Belotti (11', 43')
Zaza (39')
Papu (13'), Muriel (21'), Hateboer (42'), De Roon (54')
Caldara (30'), Freuler (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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