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Serie A
Napoli logo
Serie A | Gameweek 26
Mar 11, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Atalanta logo

Napoli
2 - 0
Atalanta

Kvaratskhelia (60'), Rrahmani (77')
Osimhen (18')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ruggeri (15'), Scalvini (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 0-1 Lazio
Friday, March 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 0-0 Udinese
Saturday, March 4 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 2-0 Atalanta BC

 Only one of the last 15 Serie A encounters between Napoli and Atalanta has been drawn, and that trend can continue this week as the hosts get back on track after a rare taste of defeat. Their fearsome front line cannot be denied for another 90 minutes, while their visitors have suddenly run short of goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 18.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result
NapoliDrawAtalanta BC
60.37% (0.57100000000001 0.57) 20.83% (-0.087 -0.09) 18.8% (-0.485 -0.48)
Both teams to score 56.9% (-0.59399999999999 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.14% (-0.362 -0.36)39.85% (0.364 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.79% (-0.377 -0.38)62.21% (0.38 0.38)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.19% (0.051000000000002 0.05)12.81% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.86% (0.10599999999999 0.11)39.13% (-0.104 -0.1)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.26% (-0.718 -0.72)34.74% (0.72 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.53% (-0.764 -0.76)71.47% (0.767 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 60.37%
    Atalanta BC 18.8%
    Draw 20.83%
NapoliDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.4% (0.194 0.19)
1-0 @ 9.15% (0.171 0.17)
3-1 @ 6.81% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.44% (0.145 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.6% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.5% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.31% (0.081 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.44% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.36% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 60.37%
1-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.45% (0.075 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.83%
1-2 @ 5.11% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-1 @ 4.71% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.49% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.8% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 18.8%

How you voted: Napoli vs Atalanta

Napoli
87.1%
Draw
8.9%
Atalanta BC
4.0%
101
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 5pm
Atalanta
1-2
Napoli
Lookman (19' pen.)
Demiral (36')
Osimhen (23'), Elmas (35')
Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Atalanta
1-3
Napoli
De Roon (58')
Luis Palomino (35'), de Roon (86')
Insigne (14' pen.), Politano (37'), Elmas (81')
Jesus (67'), Ospina (76'), Zambo Anguissa (85')
Dec 4, 2021 7.45pm
Napoli
2-3
Atalanta
Zielinski (40'), Mertens (47')
Rrahmani (58'), Malcuit (64')
Malinovskyi (7'), Demiral (66'), Freuler (71')
Malinovskyi (17'), Pasalic (82'), Djimsiti (87')
Feb 21, 2021 5pm
Atalanta
4-2
Napoli
Zapata (52'), Gosens (64'), Muriel (71'), Romero (79')
Djimsiti (55'), Gosens (87')
Piero Gasperini (26')
Zielinski (58'), Gosens (76' og.)
Di Lorenzo (6')
Feb 10, 2021 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Atalanta
3-1
Napoli
Zapata (10'), Pessina (16', 78')
Luis Palomino (7')
Lozano (53')
Hysaj (25'), Zielinski (57'), Di Lorenzo (75'), Insigne (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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