Champions League

Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Feb 21, 2023 at 8pm UK

Commerzbank-Arena

Frankfurt
0 - 2
Napoli

(Napoli win 5-0 on aggregate)

Gotze (60')
Kolo (58')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Osimhen (40'), Di Lorenzo (65')
Min-jae (38'), Elmas (83')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Frankfurt 2-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, February 18 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Napoli

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Sassuolo 0-2 Napoli
Friday, February 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 58.83%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 19.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.51%) and 0-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Eintracht Frankfurt win it was 2-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Napoli
19.69% ( 0.06)	21.48% ( 0)	58.83% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 56.19% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.47% (

0.08)

41.53% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.07% (

0.08)

63.93% (

-0.08)

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.19% (

0.11)

34.8% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.46% (

0.12)

71.54% (

-0.12)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.19% (

0.01)

13.81% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.85% (

0.01)

41.14% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Eintracht Frankfurt 19.69%

Napoli 58.83%

Draw 21.48%

Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Napoli
2-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.07% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 19.69%	1-1 @ 10.04% 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.48%	1-2 @ 9.94% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 9.42% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 6.56% 0-3 @ 6.22% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.25% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.29% 0-5 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 58.83%