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Serie A
Spezia Calcio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 21
Feb 5, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Napoli logo

Spezia
0 - 3
Napoli


Ampadu (16'), Caldara (50'), Reca (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kvaratskhelia (47' pen.), Osimhen (68', 73')
Lozano (19'), Zielinski (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Spezia
Friday, January 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-1 Roma
Sunday, January 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 0-2 Napoli

 There is no reason to suspect lowly Spezia can halt the Napoli juggernaut in Sunday's early kickoff, and recent results suggests the hosts could lose without scoring. Without some integral players, they will surely succumb to the Azzurri for a second time this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 73.44%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 10.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-3 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.52%), while for a Spezia win it was 2-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawNapoli
10.5% (0.026999999999999 0.03) 16.05% (-0.049000000000003 -0.05) 73.44% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.67% (0.3 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.24% (0.328 0.33)35.75% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.17% (0.36199999999999 0.36)57.82% (-0.362 -0.36)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.4% (0.27500000000001 0.28)43.6% (-0.277 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.21% (0.229 0.23)79.79% (-0.229 -0.23)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.62% (0.084999999999994 0.08)8.38% (-0.086 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.84% (0.21000000000001 0.21)29.15% (-0.212 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 10.5%
    Napoli 73.43%
    Draw 16.05%
SpeziaDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 3.12% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 3.03% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 1.26% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.07% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 10.5%
1-1 @ 7.52% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.87% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.65% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 16.05%
0-2 @ 11.22% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 9.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 9.28% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.112 -0.11)
1-3 @ 7.7% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 5.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 4.78% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.2% (0.035 0.04)
0-5 @ 2.85% (0.011 0.01)
1-5 @ 2.37% (0.027 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.98% (0.03 0.03)
0-6 @ 1.18% (0.01 0.01)
2-5 @ 0.98% (0.019 0.02)
1-6 @ 0.98% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 73.43%

How you voted: Spezia vs Napoli

Spezia
11.7%
Draw
7.4%
Napoli
80.9%
94
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 2pm
Napoli
1-0
Spezia
Raspadori (89')

Gyasi (45')
May 22, 2022 11.30am
Spezia
0-3
Napoli

Manaj (45+10')
Politano (4'), Zielinski (25'), Demme (36')
Politano (51'), Ghoulam (66')
Dec 22, 2021 7.45pm
Napoli
0-1
Spezia

Rui (45+2'), Petagna (75')
Jesus (37' og.)
Maggiore (19'), Kiwior (48'), Manaj (51')
May 8, 2021 2pm
Spezia
1-4
Napoli
Piccoli (64')
Ricci (34'), Estevez (58'), Vignali (62')
Zielinski (15'), Osimhen (23', 44'), Lozano (79')
Hysaj (6'), Osimhen (65')
Jan 28, 2021 8pm
Quarter-finals
Napoli
4-2
Spezia
Koulibaly (5'), Lozano (20'), Politano (30'), Elmas (40')
Lozano (10'), Rui (61')
Gyasi (70'), Acampora (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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