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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Spezia Calcio logo

Hellas Verona
1 - 2
Spezia

Verdi (30')
Lasagna (45+2'), Tameze (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
N'Zola (53', 69')
Ampadu (32'), Holm (35'), Amian (86'), Egill Ellertsson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-1 Juventus
Thursday, November 10 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 1-1 Udinese
Tuesday, November 8 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Hellas Verona 1-1 Spezia

Verona should have taken slight confidence from their match against Juventus in midweek despite losing to the Italian giants, and we can envisage their losing streak coming to an end on Sunday. Spezia would likely be content with remaining outside of the relegation zone ahead of the World Cup by avoiding defeat, so it could be a stalemate at Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawSpezia
40.01% (0.204 0.2) 25.41% (0.745 0.75) 34.58% (-0.951 -0.95)
Both teams to score 56.02% (-2.799 -2.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.21% (-3.549 -3.55)47.78% (3.546 3.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.03% (-3.359 -3.36)69.97% (3.357 3.36)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.35% (-1.462 -1.46)23.64% (1.46 1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.26% (-2.153 -2.15)57.74% (2.149 2.15)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.36% (-2.219 -2.22)26.63% (2.215 2.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13% (-3.029 -3.03)61.87% (3.024 3.02)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 40.01%
    Spezia 34.58%
    Draw 25.41%
Hellas VeronaDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 9.08% (0.924 0.92)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.55% (0.407 0.41)
3-1 @ 4.16% (-0.182 -0.18)
3-0 @ 3.15% (0.066 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.308 -0.31)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.16 -0.16)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 40.01%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.51 0.51)
0-0 @ 6.3% (0.88 0.88)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.373 -0.37)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.225 -0.23)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 8.33% (0.694 0.69)
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-2 @ 5.51% (0.127 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.51% (-0.305 -0.31)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.341 -0.34)
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.184 -0.18)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 34.58%

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs Spezia

Hellas Verona
50.0%
Draw
28.1%
Spezia
21.9%
64
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2022 1.30pm
Spezia
1-2
Hellas Verona
Erlic (85')
Verde (75'), Agudelo (78'), Zoet (87')
Agudelo (87')
Caprari (59', 70')
Veloso (29'), Casale (45')
Oct 3, 2021 2pm
Hellas Verona
4-0
Spezia
Simeone (4'), Faraoni (15'), Caprari (42'), Bessa (71')
Caprari (28')

Ferrer (40')
Bastoni (82')
May 1, 2021 2pm
Hellas Verona
1-1
Spezia
Salcedo (46')
Zaccagni (15'), Dawidowicz (38'), Sturaro (40'), Ilic (69'), Tameze (71'), Faraoni (84')
Saponara (86')
N'Zola (13'), Chabot (50')
Jan 3, 2021 2pm
Spezia
0-1
Hellas Verona

Chabot (12'), Estevez (35'), Pobega (66'), Erlic (77'), Agoume (79')
Chabot (69')
Zaccagni (75')
Feb 17, 2019 8pm
Spezia
1-2
Hellas Verona
Mora (4')
Vignali (11'), Ricci (81')
Zaccagni (25'), Gustafson (61')
Zaccagni (6'), Faraoni (8'), Tupta (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14CagliariCagliari11236919-109
15Genoa11236821-139
16Como112361222-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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