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Serie A
Hellas Verona logo
Serie A | Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Spezia Calcio logo

Hellas Verona
1 - 2
Spezia

Verdi (30')
Lasagna (45+2'), Tameze (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
N'Zola (53', 69')
Ampadu (32'), Holm (35'), Amian (86'), Egill Ellertsson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hellas Verona

All competitions
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-1 Juventus
Thursday, November 10 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Spezia

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 1-1 Udinese
Tuesday, November 8 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Hellas Verona 1-1 Spezia

 Verona should have taken slight confidence from their match against Juventus in midweek despite losing to the Italian giants, and we can envisage their losing streak coming to an end on Sunday. Spezia would likely be content with remaining outside of the relegation zone ahead of the World Cup by avoiding defeat, so it could be a stalemate at Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawSpezia
40.01% (0.204 0.2) 25.41% (0.745 0.75) 34.58% (-0.951 -0.95)
Both teams to score 56.02% (-2.799 -2.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.21% (-3.549 -3.55)47.78% (3.546 3.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.03% (-3.359 -3.36)69.97% (3.357 3.36)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.35% (-1.462 -1.46)23.64% (1.46 1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.26% (-2.153 -2.15)57.74% (2.149 2.15)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.36% (-2.219 -2.22)26.63% (2.215 2.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13% (-3.029 -3.03)61.87% (3.024 3.02)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 40.01%
    Spezia 34.58%
    Draw 25.41%
Hellas VeronaDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 9.08% (0.924 0.92)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.55% (0.407 0.41)
3-1 @ 4.16% (-0.182 -0.18)
3-0 @ 3.15% (0.066 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.308 -0.31)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.16 -0.16)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 40.01%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.51 0.51)
0-0 @ 6.3% (0.88 0.88)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.373 -0.37)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.225 -0.23)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 8.33% (0.694 0.69)
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-2 @ 5.51% (0.127 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.51% (-0.305 -0.31)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.341 -0.34)
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.184 -0.18)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 34.58%

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs Spezia

Hellas Verona
50.0%
Draw
28.1%
Spezia
21.9%
64
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2022 1.30pm
Spezia
1-2
Hellas Verona
Erlic (85')
Verde (75'), Agudelo (78'), Zoet (87')
Agudelo (87')
Caprari (59', 70')
Veloso (29'), Casale (45')
Oct 3, 2021 2pm
Hellas Verona
4-0
Spezia
Simeone (4'), Faraoni (15'), Caprari (42'), Bessa (71')
Caprari (28')

Ferrer (40')
Bastoni (82')
May 1, 2021 2pm
Hellas Verona
1-1
Spezia
Salcedo (46')
Zaccagni (15'), Dawidowicz (38'), Sturaro (40'), Ilic (69'), Tameze (71'), Faraoni (84')
Saponara (86')
N'Zola (13'), Chabot (50')
Jan 3, 2021 2pm
Spezia
0-1
Hellas Verona

Chabot (12'), Estevez (35'), Pobega (66'), Erlic (77'), Agoume (79')
Chabot (69')
Zaccagni (75')
Feb 17, 2019 8pm
Spezia
1-2
Hellas Verona
Mora (4')
Vignali (11'), Ricci (81')
Zaccagni (25'), Gustafson (61')
Zaccagni (6'), Faraoni (8'), Tupta (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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