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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Nov 8, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Udinese logo

Spezia
1 - 1
Udinese

Reca (33')
Bourabia (35'), Kiwior (44'), Bastoni (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lovric (43')
Arslan (17'), Success (72'), Nuytinck (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 2-1 Spezia
Saturday, November 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Lecce
Friday, November 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-1 Udinese

These sides appear to be evenly matched despite the visitors having 14 more points in the standings, and we expect another close contest between the two teams on Tuesday. Udinese have a little more quality in the attacking third compared to Spezia, although the home side have been much more potent at Stadio Alberto Picco. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 51.52%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawUdinese
25.35% (-0.012 -0.01) 23.13% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 51.52% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.27% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.64% (0.0049999999999955 0)42.36% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.24% (0.0039999999999978 0)64.76% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.8% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)30.2% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.64% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)66.36% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.48% (0.007000000000005 0.01)16.51% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.74% (0.012999999999998 0.01)46.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 25.35%
    Udinese 51.52%
    Draw 23.13%
SpeziaDrawUdinese
2-1 @ 6.44% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 5.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 3.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 25.35%
1-1 @ 10.75%
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.99% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.13%
1-2 @ 9.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 8.98% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 8.09% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 5.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 4.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 1.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 51.52%

How you voted: Spezia vs Udinese

Spezia
26.5%
Draw
27.9%
Udinese
45.6%
147
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 5pm
Udinese
2-3
Spezia
Molina (26'), Mari (90+4')
Nuytinck (18'), Pereyra (72'), Arslan (90+5')
Verde (35'), Gyasi (45+3'), Maggiore (47')
Gyasi (19'), Kiwior (80')
Sep 12, 2021 2pm
Jan 31, 2021 11.30am
Spezia
0-1
Udinese

Pobega (23'), Vignali (39'), Bastoni (66'), Acampora (69'), Saponara (82')
Saponara (86')
De Paul (52' pen.)
Bonifazi (16'), De Paul (71'), De Maio (90')
De Paul (75')
Sep 30, 2020 5pm
Udinese
0-2
Spezia
Galabinov (29', 90+4')
Terzi (39'), Ferrer (79'), Ramos (86'), Farias (90+4')
Terzi (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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