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Serie A
Spezia Calcio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Fiorentina logo

Spezia
1 - 2
Fiorentina

N'Zola (35')
Nikolaou (7'), Gyasi (24'), Ekdal (61'), Amian (70'), N'Zola (90+4')
Nikolaou (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Milenkovic (14'), Cabral (90')
Ikone (20'), Amrabat (21'), Maleh (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 1-0 Spezia
Saturday, October 22 at 2pm in Serie A

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Istanbul
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Spezia 2-2 Fiorentina

 Both teams feature in the top three for goals conceded during the opening 15 minutes of Serie A matches, so a fast start could be on the cards. As either side has defensive frailties, a share of the spoils might be the likeliest result - particularly given Spezia's strength on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.58%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 24.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawFiorentina
24.78% (0.197 0.2) 23.64% (0.0040000000000013 0) 51.58% (-0.202 -0.2)
Both teams to score 55.96% (0.2 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.85% (0.165 0.16)45.14% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.51% (0.158 0.16)67.49% (-0.16000000000001 -0.16)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85% (0.253 0.25)32.15% (-0.255 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.37% (0.286 0.29)68.63% (-0.288 -0.29)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.47% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)17.52% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.95% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)48.04% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 24.78%
    Fiorentina 51.58%
    Draw 23.64%
SpeziaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 6.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 6.32% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 3.63% (0.025 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.39% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.37% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 24.78%
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.63% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.64%
0-1 @ 9.81% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
1-2 @ 9.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.54% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-3 @ 5.63% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.96% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.19% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.45% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 2.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.39% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 51.58%

How you voted: Spezia vs Fiorentina

Spezia
31.1%
Draw
24.4%
Fiorentina
44.4%
45
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2022 7.45pm
Spezia
1-2
Fiorentina
Agudelo (74')
Reca (78'), Amian (84')
Piatek (42'), Amrabat (89')
Castrovilli (67')
Oct 31, 2021 2pm
Fiorentina
3-0
Spezia
Vlahovic (44' pen., 62', 74')
Martinez (36'), Venuti (55'), Vlahovic (75'), Maleh (82')

Ferrer (21'), Gyasi (43'), Colley (58'), Motta (78')
Feb 19, 2021 5.30pm
Fiorentina
3-0
Spezia
Vlahovic (51'), Castrovilli (65'), Eysseric (83')
Amrabat (18'), Eysseric (75'), Valero (77'), Martinez (90+2')
Oct 18, 2020 2pm
Spezia
2-2
Fiorentina
Verde (39'), Farias (75')
Deiola (45+1'), Chabot (59')
Pezzella (2'), Biraghi (4')
Bonaventura (66'), Lirola (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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