Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 11

Oct 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
3 - 4
Inter Milan

Cabral (33' pen.), Ikone (60'), Jovic (90')
Bonaventura (36'), Dodo (38'), Amrabat (54'), Milenkovic (79')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Barella (2'), Martinez (15', 73' pen.), Mkhitaryan (90+5')
Acerbi (36'), Inzaghi (38'), Barella (56'), Dumfries (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Fiorentina
Monday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Salernitana
Sunday, October 16 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Fiorentina 1-2 Inter Milan

Inter have both scored and conceded in all of their last nine Serie A away matches - each game seeing a total of at least three goals scored in the process - and while Fiorentina are a tougher nut to crack on home soil, form suggests an away win is the likeliest outcome at the Franchi this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.57%) and 0-2 (5.45%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Inter Milan
36.44% ( -0.03)	23.28% ( -0.01)	40.28% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 64.14% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.64% (

0.04)

37.37% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.42% (

0.05)

59.58% (

-0.04)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.19% (

20.81% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.53% (

53.47% (

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.99% (

0.04)

19.01% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.43% (

0.06)

50.57% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 36.44%

Inter Milan 40.28%

Draw 23.27%

Fiorentina	Draw	Inter Milan
2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 36.44%	1-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.27%	1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.57% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.72% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.02% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 3.48% Total : 40.28%