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Serie A
Fiorentina logo
Serie A | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Inter logo

Fiorentina
3 - 4
Inter Milan

Cabral (33' pen.), Ikone (60'), Jovic (90')
Bonaventura (36'), Dodo (38'), Amrabat (54'), Milenkovic (79')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Barella (2'), Martinez (15', 73' pen.), Mkhitaryan (90+5')
Acerbi (36'), Inzaghi (38'), Barella (56'), Dumfries (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Fiorentina
Monday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Inter Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Salernitana
Sunday, October 16 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 1-2 Inter Milan

 Inter have both scored and conceded in all of their last nine Serie A away matches - each game seeing a total of at least three goals scored in the process - and while Fiorentina are a tougher nut to crack on home soil, form suggests an away win is the likeliest outcome at the Franchi this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.57%) and 0-2 (5.45%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawInter Milan
36.44% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03) 23.28% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 40.28% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 64.14% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.64% (0.041999999999994 0.04)37.37% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.42% (0.045000000000002 0.05)59.58% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.19% (0.0040000000000049 0)20.81% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.53% (0.0020000000000024 0)53.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.99% (0.040000000000006 0.04)19.01% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.43% (0.061999999999998 0.06)50.57% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 36.44%
    Inter Milan 40.28%
    Draw 23.27%
FiorentinaDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 8.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.55% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 36.44%
1-1 @ 10.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.96% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 8.56% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 6.57% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.74% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.72% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.54% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.25% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 40.28%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Inter Milan

Fiorentina
14.0%
Draw
8.4%
Inter Milan
77.7%
179
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 5pm
Inter Milan
1-1
Fiorentina
Dumfries (55')
D'Ambrosio (72')
Torreira (50')
Milenkovic (39'), Saponara (56')
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Fiorentina
1-3
Inter Milan
Sottil (23')
Gonzalez (78')
Gonzalez (78')
Darmian (52'), Dzeko (55'), Perisic (87')
Skriniar (18'), Darmian (63'), Calhanoglu (83')
Feb 5, 2021 7.45pm
Fiorentina
0-2
Inter Milan

Amrabat (60'), Martinez (75'), Pulgar (81')
Barella (31'), Perisic (52')
Perisic (42')
Jan 13, 2021 2pm
Fiorentina
1-2
Inter Milan
Kouame (57')
Eysseric (6'), Bonaventura (27'), Kouame (57'), Julio (80')
Vidal (40' pen.), Lukaku (119')
Skriniar (45'), Eriksen (79'), Vidal (84'), Hakimi (112'), Ranocchia (117'), Sanchez (120+1'), Lukaku (120+3')
Sep 26, 2020 7.45pm
Inter Milan
4-3
Fiorentina
Martinez (45+2'), Ceccherini (52' og.), Lukaku (87'), D'Ambrosio (89')
Barella (7')
Kouame (3'), Castrovilli (57'), Chiesa (63')
Ceccherini (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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