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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Salernitana

Inter Milan
2 - 0
Salernitana

Martinez (14'), Barella (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Daniliuc (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Barcelona 3-3 Inter Milan
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League

Salernitana

All competitions
Last Game: Salernitana 2-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 3-1 Salernitana

 Inter have not played out a draw in their last 18 league games, and that sequence is set to continue for Inzaghi's improving side, whose confidence has been boosted by recent Champions League feats. While Salernitana offer enough threat to score at San Siro, the hosts' forwards are finally running into form and will punish any lapses in concentration. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 70.9%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 11.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-2 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
Inter MilanDrawSalernitana
70.9% (0.209 0.21) 17.11% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08) 11.99% (-0.131 -0.13)
Both teams to score 53.03% (-0.148 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.36% (0.021999999999998 0.02)36.64% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.2% (0.023000000000003 0.02)58.79% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.82% (0.054999999999993 0.05)9.17% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.91% (0.126 0.13)31.09% (-0.126 -0.13)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.38% (-0.196 -0.2)41.61% (0.198 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.9% (-0.174 -0.17)78.1% (0.176 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 70.9%
    Salernitana 11.99%
    Draw 17.11%
Inter MilanDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 10.89% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.12% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.67% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.18% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.54% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.48% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.17% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.99% (-0.004 -0)
6-0 @ 0.99% (0.013 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 70.9%
1-1 @ 8% (-0.031999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.82% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.11%
1-2 @ 3.51% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-1 @ 3.35% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.47% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 11.99%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Salernitana

Inter Milan
84.6%
Draw
9.2%
Salernitana
6.2%
65
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2022 7.45pm
Inter Milan
5-0
Salernitana
Martinez (22', 40', 56'), Dzeko (64', 69')
Darmian (8'), de Vrij (44')

Mousset (12')
Dec 17, 2021 7.45pm
Salernitana
0-5
Inter Milan

Gyomber (53')
Perisic (11'), Dumfries (33'), Sanchez (52'), Martinez (77'), Gagliardini (87')
Barella (18'), Calhanoglu (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810
> Serie A Full Table


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