Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 10

Oct 16, 2022 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan
2 - 0
Salernitana

Martinez (14'), Barella (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Daniliuc (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Barcelona 3-3 Inter Milan
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salernitana

All competitions

Last Game: Salernitana 2-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Inter Milan 3-1 Salernitana

Inter have not played out a draw in their last 18 league games, and that sequence is set to continue for Inzaghi's improving side, whose confidence has been boosted by recent Champions League feats. While Salernitana offer enough threat to score at San Siro, the hosts' forwards are finally running into form and will punish any lapses in concentration. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 70.9%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 11.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-2 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Salernitana
70.9% ( 0.21)	17.11% ( -0.08)	11.99% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 53.03% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.36% (

0.02)

36.64% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.2% (

0.02)

58.79% (

-0.02)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.82% (

0.05)

9.17% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.91% (

0.13)

31.09% (

-0.13)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.38% (

-0.2)

41.61% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.9% (

-0.17)

78.1% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 70.9%

Salernitana 11.99%

Draw 17.11%

Inter Milan	Draw	Salernitana
2-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0) 6-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.43% Total : 70.9%	1-1 @ 8% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.82% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.11%	1-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.42% Total : 11.99%