Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 12, 2022 at 8pm UK

Camp Nou

Barcelona
3 - 3
Inter Milan

Dembele (40'), Lewandowski (82', 90+2')
Roberto (72'), Dembele (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Barella (50'), Martinez (63'), Gosens (89')
Martinez (52'), de Vrij (55'), Mkhitaryan (84'), Inzaghi (90+7')

Robert Lewandowski: 'We forgot to defend against Inter Milan'

Barcelona striker Robert Lewandowski says that his team 'forgot about their defence' against Inter Milan.

Oct 13, 16:19

Xavi: 'We do not deserve to play in the Champions League'

Barcelona boss Xavi says that his side 'do not deserve to play in the Champions League' following their loss to Inter Milan.

Oct 13, 15:19

Inter Milan's Nicolo Barella celebrates scoring against Barcelona on October 12, 2022

Barcelona facing last-16 disappointment as Inter Milan claim Camp Nou draw

Inter Milan remain in charge of second spot in Group C courtesy of a 3-3 draw with Barcelona in the Champions League on Wednesday.

Oct 12, 22:01

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Celta Vigo
Sunday, October 9 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Inter Milan

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, October 8 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Barcelona 2-1 Inter Milan

There is no downplaying the importance of this match, with Barcelona in desperate need of all three points to boost their knockout hopes. We are expecting this to be a very tight game, with Inter more than capable of picking up a positive result, but Barcelona should just have enough at home to claim a vital win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Inter Milan
40.01% ( 0.09)	24.89% ( -0.01)	35.09% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 57.94% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.66% (

0.02)

45.34% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.32% (

0.02)

67.68% (

-0.02)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.44% (

0.06)

22.56% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.84% (

0.08)

56.16% (

-0.08)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.82% (

-0.04)

25.18% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.09% (

-0.05)

59.91% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Barcelona 40.02%

Inter Milan 35.09%

Draw 24.89%

Barcelona	Draw	Inter Milan
2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 40.02%	1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.89%	1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.09%