Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 4, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan
1 - 0
Barcelona

Calhanoglu (45+2')
Barella (23'), Calhanoglu (70'), Martinez (76'), Inzaghi (80'), Bastoni (88'), Onana (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Busquets (60'), Xavi (68'), Gavi (76')

Xavi "worried" about Barcelona's Champions League knockout hopes

Barcelona boss Xavi concedes that he is "worried" about his team's chances of reaching the knockout round of the Champions League.

Oct 5, 09:57

Andreas Christensen in action for Barcelona on August 13, 2022

Barcelona provide Andreas Christensen injury update

Barcelona confirm that Andreas Christensen picked up an ankle ligament injury during the clash with Inter Milan.

Oct 5, 09:40

Inter Milan's Hakan Calhanoglu celebrates scoring their first goal with Lautaro Martinez and Nicolo Barella on October 4, 2022

Barcelona left to rue VAR calls in Inter Milan defeat

Hakan Calhanoglu scores the only goal of the game as Inter Milan beat Barcelona 1-0 at San Siro in a match which saw Barca on the wrong end of two controversial VAR calls.

Oct 4, 22:00

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-2 Roma
Saturday, October 1 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barcelona

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Mallorca 0-1 Barcelona
Saturday, October 1 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Inter Milan 1-2 Barcelona

Defensively vulnerable and often unable to hold on to a lead, Inter are ripe for the taking this week, and Barcelona's much-improved squad are well-placed to take three points home from San Siro. Both sides are afflicted by injuries, but the greater depth available to Xavi means that which ever XI starts on Tuesday should have enough guile and experience to see off an ailing home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.58%) and 1-3 (5.28%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Barcelona
34.71% ( 0.01)	22.15% ( -0)	43.13% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 68.15% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68% (

32% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.43% (

0.01)

53.56% (

-0.01)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.78% (

0.01)

19.21% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.09% (

0.01)

50.91% (

-0.02)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.35% (

-0)

15.64% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.33% (

-0)

44.66% (

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 34.71%

Barcelona 43.13%

Draw 22.15%

Inter Milan	Draw	Barcelona
2-1 @ 7.59% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.96% 3-1 @ 4.17% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.09% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 34.71%	1-1 @ 9.2% ( -0) 2-2 @ 7.04% 0-0 @ 3.01% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.39% Other @ 0.52% Total : 22.15%	1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.28% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.35% 0-3 @ 3.2% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.45% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.02% 0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.06% Total : 43.13%