Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 7

Sep 18, 2022 at 11.30am UK

Dacia Arena

Udinese
3 - 1
Inter Milan

Skriniar (22' og.), Bijol (84'), Arslan (90+3')
Pereyra (39'), Udogie (51'), Becao (56')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Barella (5')
Bastoni (13'), Mkhitaryan (21'), Darmian (45+1'), Brozovic (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

Last Six:

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-3 Udinese
Sunday, September 11 at 2pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	AC Milan	6	6	14
4	Udinese	6	6	13
5	Roma	6	2	13

Inter Milan

Last Six:

Last Game: Plzen 0-2 Inter Milan
Tuesday, September 13 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Roma	6	2	13
6	Inter Milan	6	4	12
7	Lazio	6	4	11

We said: Udinese 1-2 Inter Milan

Even if the game remains finely poised heading towards its conclusion, Inter and Udinese are the two teams with the most goals inside the final 15 minutes of play so far in Serie A (four) - and both scored during that period to win last week. Udinese are the form side, but Inter's individual quality may still send the points their way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 63.89%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 16.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Udinese win it was 2-1 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Udinese	Draw	Inter Milan
16.07% ( 0.33)	20.04% ( 0.22)	63.89% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 53.91% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.94% (

-0.37)

41.06% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.55% (

-0.38)

63.45% (

0.38)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.38% (

0.18)

38.62% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.64% (

0.17)

75.36% (

-0.17)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.82% (

-0.26)

12.18% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.17% (

-0.55)

37.83% (

0.55)

Score Analysis

Udinese 16.07%

Inter Milan 63.89%

Draw 20.04%

Udinese	Draw	Inter Milan
2-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.06% Total : 16.07%	1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.04%	0-2 @ 10.42% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.92% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 7.32% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 6.96% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 3.85% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 3.66% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.62% ( -0.06) 1-5 @ 1.54% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.64% Total : 63.89%