Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 3

Aug 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
3 - 1
Inter Milan

Anderson (40'), Alberto (75'), Pedro (86')
Zaccagni (56'), Marusic (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Martinez (51')
Brozovic (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

Last Six:

Last Game: Torino 0-0 Lazio
Saturday, August 20 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Fiorentina	2	1	4
8	Lazio	2	1	4
9	Torino	2	1	4

Inter Milan

Last Six:

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Spezia
Saturday, August 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Napoli	2	7	6
2	Inter Milan	2	4	6
3	Roma	2	2	6

We said: Lazio 1-2 Inter Milan

Inter can end their barren run away to Lazio this week, by building on momentum from their opening matches. While the tactical tussle between Inzaghi and Sarri is always engaging, it is the former who should come out on top this time, due to his depth of resources on the bench. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 52.76%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Inter Milan
24.72% ( -0.02)	22.52% ( -0.05)	52.76% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 59.72% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.87% (

0.21)

40.13% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.5% (

0.22)

62.5% (

-0.22)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.5% (

0.1)

29.5% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.49% (

0.12)

65.51% (

-0.13)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.72% (

0.09)

15.28% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.01% (

0.18)

43.99% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Lazio 24.72%

Inter Milan 52.76%

Draw 22.51%

Lazio	Draw	Inter Milan
2-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 24.72%	1-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.51%	1-2 @ 9.71% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.08% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.98% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.86% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.84% Total : 52.76%