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Serie A | Gameweek 35
Apr 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Lazio logo

Spezia
3 - 4
Lazio

Amian (9'), Agudelo (35'), Hristov (56')
Manaj (64'), Amian (64'), Kovalenko (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Immobile (33' pen.), Provedel (54' og.), Milinkovic-Savic (68'), Acerbi (90')
Zaccagni (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 3-3 Hellas Verona
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-3 Lazio

Along with Sampdoria, one of two teams not to have drawn any Serie A home matches in 2022, Spezia would surely take a point on this occasion. However, Lazio have other ideas, and a powerful mixture of determination to bounce back from the Milan loss and their greater need for the points will ensure they go in all guns blazing on Saturday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 18.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawLazio
18.14%21.47%60.39%
Both teams to score 53.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.14%43.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.75%66.25%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.16%37.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.39%74.61%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.91%14.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.3%41.7%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 18.14%
    Lazio 60.38%
    Draw 21.47%
SpeziaDrawLazio
1-0 @ 5.18%
2-1 @ 4.93%
2-0 @ 2.52%
3-1 @ 1.6%
3-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 18.14%
1-1 @ 10.15%
0-0 @ 5.33%
2-2 @ 4.84%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.47%
0-1 @ 10.44%
0-2 @ 10.23%
1-2 @ 9.95%
0-3 @ 6.69%
1-3 @ 6.5%
0-4 @ 3.28%
1-4 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 3.16%
2-4 @ 1.55%
0-5 @ 1.29%
1-5 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 60.38%

How you voted: Spezia vs Lazio

Spezia
16.4%
Draw
11.5%
Lazio
72.1%
61
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2021 5.30pm
Lazio
6-1
Spezia
Immobile (5', 15', 45+2'), Anderson (47'), Hysaj (70'), Alberto (85')
Verde (4')
Erlic (45+1'), Gyasi (49')
Amian (54')
Apr 3, 2021 2pm
Dec 5, 2020 2pm
Spezia
1-2
Lazio
N'Zola (64')
Bastoni (23'), Terzi (31'), Ricci (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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