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Serie A | Gameweek 35
Apr 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Lazio logo

Spezia
3 - 4
Lazio

Amian (9'), Agudelo (35'), Hristov (56')
Manaj (64'), Amian (64'), Kovalenko (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Immobile (33' pen.), Provedel (54' og.), Milinkovic-Savic (68'), Acerbi (90')
Zaccagni (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 3-3 Hellas Verona
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-3 Lazio

Along with Sampdoria, one of two teams not to have drawn any Serie A home matches in 2022, Spezia would surely take a point on this occasion. However, Lazio have other ideas, and a powerful mixture of determination to bounce back from the Milan loss and their greater need for the points will ensure they go in all guns blazing on Saturday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 18.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawLazio
18.14%21.47%60.39%
Both teams to score 53.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.14%43.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.75%66.25%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.16%37.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.39%74.61%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.91%14.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.3%41.7%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 18.14%
    Lazio 60.38%
    Draw 21.47%
SpeziaDrawLazio
1-0 @ 5.18%
2-1 @ 4.93%
2-0 @ 2.52%
3-1 @ 1.6%
3-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 18.14%
1-1 @ 10.15%
0-0 @ 5.33%
2-2 @ 4.84%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.47%
0-1 @ 10.44%
0-2 @ 10.23%
1-2 @ 9.95%
0-3 @ 6.69%
1-3 @ 6.5%
0-4 @ 3.28%
1-4 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 3.16%
2-4 @ 1.55%
0-5 @ 1.29%
1-5 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 60.38%

How you voted: Spezia vs Lazio

Spezia
16.4%
Draw
11.5%
Lazio
72.1%
61
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2021 5.30pm
Lazio
6-1
Spezia
Immobile (5', 15', 45+2'), Anderson (47'), Hysaj (70'), Alberto (85')
Verde (4')
Erlic (45+1'), Gyasi (49')
Amian (54')
Apr 3, 2021 2pm
Dec 5, 2020 2pm
Spezia
1-2
Lazio
N'Zola (64')
Bastoni (23'), Terzi (31'), Ricci (82')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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