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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Napoli logo

Spezia
0 - 3
Napoli


Manaj (45+10')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Politano (4'), Zielinski (25'), Demme (36')
Politano (51'), Ghoulam (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Spezia 0-2 Napoli

Napoli are ending the campaign in good form and depending on how strong Luciano Spalletti decides to go with his team selection, they should finish with three points here. With their survival confirmed, Spezia are unlikely to provide that much of a challenge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 74.3%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 9.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.68%) and 0-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawNapoli
9.85% (-0.0959 -0.1) 15.84% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04) 74.3% (0.134 0.13)
Both teams to score 49.83% (-0.248 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.19% (-0.12 -0.12)36.8% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.02% (-0.128 -0.13)58.97% (0.126 0.13)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.43% (-0.271 -0.27)45.57% (0.271 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.62% (-0.213 -0.21)81.38% (0.211 0.21)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.55% (0.0019999999999953 0)8.44% (-0.0020999999999987 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.68% (0.0039999999999907 0)29.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 9.85%
    Napoli 74.3%
    Draw 15.84%
SpeziaDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 3.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 2.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 1.19% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 0.95% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 9.85%
1-1 @ 7.48% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.63% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 15.84%
0-2 @ 11.75% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 9.68% (0.058 0.06)
0-1 @ 9.51% (0.055 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 5.98% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 4.7% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-5 @ 2.96% (0.019 0.02)
1-5 @ 2.33% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-4 @ 1.85% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-6 @ 1.22% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-6 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
2-5 @ 0.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 74.3%

How you voted: Spezia vs Napoli

Spezia
13.6%
Draw
9.1%
Napoli
77.3%
66
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2021 7.45pm
Napoli
0-1
Spezia

Rui (45+2'), Petagna (75')
Jesus (37' og.)
Maggiore (19'), Kiwior (48'), Manaj (51')
May 8, 2021 2pm
Spezia
1-4
Napoli
Piccoli (64')
Ricci (34'), Estevez (58'), Vignali (62')
Zielinski (15'), Osimhen (23', 44'), Lozano (79')
Hysaj (6'), Osimhen (65')
Jan 28, 2021 8pm
Napoli
4-2
Spezia
Koulibaly (5'), Lozano (20'), Politano (30'), Elmas (40')
Lozano (10'), Rui (61')
Gyasi (70'), Acampora (73')
Jan 6, 2021 5pm
Napoli
1-2
Spezia
Petagna (58')
Di Lorenzo (87'), Manolas (90+3')
N'Zola (68' pen.), Pobega (82')
Ismajli (61'), Pobega (65'), Maggiore (72'), Terzi (88')
Ismajli (77')
Jan 10, 2017 8pm
Napoli
3-1
Spezia
Zielinski (3'), Giaccherini (56'), Gabbiadini (57')
Piccolo (35')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli164751416-219
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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