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Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 15, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Inter logo

Spezia
1 - 3
Inter Milan

Maggiore (88')
Bastoni (10'), Nikolaou (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Brozovic (31'), Martinez (73'), Sanchez (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Spezia 0-2 Inter Milan

With Spezia having all but secured their Serie A status for next season, there is more riding on this fixture for Inter as they bid to keep in touch with Milan at the top. The Nerazzurri were frustrated at the Stadio Alberto Picco last season, but we can see them securing all three points on Good Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 13.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.58%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawInter Milan
13.08%19.43%67.49%
Both teams to score 48.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.33%44.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.97%67.03%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.95%45.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.03%80.97%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.75%12.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.03%37.97%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 13.08%
    Inter Milan 67.48%
    Draw 19.43%
SpeziaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 4.4%
2-1 @ 3.68%
2-0 @ 1.76%
3-2 @ 1.03%
3-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 13.08%
1-1 @ 9.24%
0-0 @ 5.52%
2-2 @ 3.87%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 19.43%
0-2 @ 12.16%
0-1 @ 11.58%
1-2 @ 9.7%
0-3 @ 8.51%
1-3 @ 6.79%
0-4 @ 4.47%
1-4 @ 3.56%
2-3 @ 2.71%
0-5 @ 1.88%
1-5 @ 1.5%
2-4 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 67.48%

How you voted: Spezia vs Inter Milan

Spezia
14.0%
Draw
13.3%
Inter Milan
72.7%
143
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2021 5.30pm
Inter Milan
2-0
Spezia
Gagliardini (36'), Martinez (58' pen.)
Martinez (44')

Manaj (31'), Kiwior (57')
Apr 21, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 20, 2020 2pm
Inter Milan
2-1
Spezia
Hakimi (52'), Lukaku (71' pen.)
Brozovic (18'), Conte (64')
Piccoli (90+4')
N'Zola (41'), Terzi (42')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta1391334161828
2Inter Milan1384131141728
3Napoli128221991026
4Fiorentina1274125101525
5Juventus136702171425
6Lazio1281325141125
7AC Milan125432014619
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma132651721-412
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona134091732-1512
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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