Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 33

Apr 15, 2022 at 6pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy

Spezia
1 - 3
Inter Milan

Maggiore (88')
Bastoni (10'), Nikolaou (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Brozovic (31'), Martinez (73'), Sanchez (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

Last Six:

Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Sampdoria	38	-17	36
16	Spezia	38	-30	36
17	Salernitana	38	-45	31

Inter Milan

Last Six:

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	AC Milan	38	38	86
2	Inter Milan	38	52	84
3	Napoli	38	43	79

We said: Spezia 0-2 Inter Milan

With Spezia having all but secured their Serie A status for next season, there is more riding on this fixture for Inter as they bid to keep in touch with Milan at the top. The Nerazzurri were frustrated at the Stadio Alberto Picco last season, but we can see them securing all three points on Good Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 13.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.58%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Inter Milan
13.08%	19.43%	67.49%

Both teams to score 48.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.33%

44.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.97%

67.03%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.95%

45.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.03%

80.97%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.75%

12.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.03%

37.97%

Score Analysis

Spezia 13.08%

Inter Milan 67.48%

Draw 19.43%

Spezia	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 4.4% 2-1 @ 3.68% 2-0 @ 1.76% 3-2 @ 1.03% 3-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.23% Total : 13.08%	1-1 @ 9.24% 0-0 @ 5.52% 2-2 @ 3.87% Other @ 0.8% Total : 19.43%	0-2 @ 12.16% 0-1 @ 11.58% 1-2 @ 9.7% 0-3 @ 8.51% 1-3 @ 6.79% 0-4 @ 4.47% 1-4 @ 3.56% 2-3 @ 2.71% 0-5 @ 1.88% 1-5 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.2% Total : 67.48%