This encounter will see the team that has recovered the most points from losing positions in Serie A this season - Inter, with 19 - face opponents who have lost the most when leading: Verona having spilled a total of 22.
So, even if the visitors are to take the lead on Saturday - which is unlikely in itself, given the champions have conceded just twice in seven games - they can expect to be under the cosh, in the first match with San Siro at full capacity for over two years.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 69.4%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 12.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.54%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.
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