Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 35

Apr 30, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadio Sant'Elia

Cagliari
1 - 2
Hellas Verona

Pedro (57')
Pavoletti (51'), Carboni (90')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Barak (8'), Caprari (44')
Barak (22'), Tameze (23'), Hongla (56'), Simeone (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

Last Six:

Last Game: Venezia 0-0 Cagliari
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Salernitana	38	-45	31
18	Cagliari	38	-34	30
19	Genoa	38	-33	28

Hellas Verona

Last Six:

Last Game: Lazio 3-3 Hellas Verona
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Atalanta BC	38	17	59
9	Hellas Verona	38	6	53
10	Torino	38	5	50

We said: Cagliari 1-2 Hellas Verona

Having scored just three times in their last seven matches, it is clear where the fault for Cagliari's decline lies, and a misfiring front line could cost them again versus carefree Verona. The visitors are playing merely for pride and places in the standings, and a relatively relaxed approach may make their fluent forward department all the more potent. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Hellas Verona in this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Hellas Verona
30.96%	24.68%	44.36%

Both teams to score 57.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.38%

45.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.05%

67.95%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.15%

27.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.55%

63.45%

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.35%

20.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.78%

53.22%

Score Analysis

Cagliari 30.96%

Hellas Verona 44.36%

Draw 24.68%

Cagliari	Draw	Hellas Verona
2-1 @ 7.41% 1-0 @ 7.35% 2-0 @ 4.7% 3-1 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.49% 3-0 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.83% Total : 30.96%	1-1 @ 11.59% 2-2 @ 5.85% 0-0 @ 5.75% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.68%	1-2 @ 9.15% 0-1 @ 9.07% 0-2 @ 7.16% 1-3 @ 4.81% 0-3 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 3.08% 1-4 @ 1.9% 0-4 @ 1.48% 2-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.75% Total : 44.36%