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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Sant'Elia
Inter logo

Cagliari
1 - 3
Inter Milan

FT(HT: 0-1)
Darmian (25'), Martinez (51', 84')
Darmian (37'), Calhanoglu (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Venezia 0-0 Cagliari
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 0-2 Inter Milan

Following a 4-0 win in December's reverse fixture at San Siro, Inter are set to complete the double over Cagliari, as they carry over momentum from their Coppa Italia triumph. With a winnable game remaining on the final day, the hosts may still have a shot at redemption next week, but they have lost half of their home fixtures to this point and are particularly vulnerable defensively. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 73.54%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 10.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.78%) and 0-3 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawInter Milan
10.2% (1.346 1.35) 16.26% (1.016 1.02) 73.54% (-2.362 -2.36)
Both teams to score 49.64% (1.875 1.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.24% (-0.503 -0.5)37.76% (0.502 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.99% (-0.535 -0.54)60.01% (0.535 0.54)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.46% (2.426 2.43)45.54% (-2.427 -2.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.64% (1.848 1.85)81.36% (-1.847 -1.85)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.15% (-0.649 -0.65)8.85% (0.6499 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.69% (-1.601 -1.6)30.32% (1.601 1.6)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 10.2%
    Inter Milan 73.53%
    Draw 16.26%
CagliariDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 3.17% (0.281 0.28)
2-1 @ 3.02% (0.369 0.37)
2-0 @ 1.25% (0.185 0.19)
3-2 @ 0.96% (0.148 0.15)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 10.2%
1-1 @ 7.69% (0.459 0.46)
0-0 @ 4.03% (0.098 0.1)
2-2 @ 3.67% (0.344 0.34)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 16.26%
0-2 @ 11.84% (-0.46 -0.46)
0-1 @ 9.78% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-3 @ 9.58% (-0.674 -0.67)
1-2 @ 9.32% (0.28 0.28)
1-3 @ 7.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 5.8% (-0.611 -0.61)
1-4 @ 4.57% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.194 0.19)
0-5 @ 2.81% (-0.395 -0.4)
1-5 @ 2.21% (-0.143 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.8% (0.064 0.06)
0-6 @ 1.14% (-0.201 -0.2)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 73.53%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Inter Milan

Cagliari
13.2%
Draw
11.0%
Inter Milan
75.8%
91
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2021 7.45pm
Inter Milan
4-0
Cagliari
Martinez (29', 68'), Sanchez (50'), Calhanoglu (66')
Martinez (33')

Cragno (43'), Deiola (76')
Apr 11, 2021 11.30am
Dec 13, 2020 11.30am
Cagliari
1-3
Inter Milan
Sottil (42')
Farago (10'), Pavoletti (71')
Barella (77'), D'Ambrosio (84'), Lukaku (90+4')
Darmian (16')
Jan 26, 2020 11.30am
Inter Milan
1-1
Cagliari
Martinez (29')
Lukaku (45'), Barella (61'), de Vrij (83'), Martinez (94')
Martinez (95'), Berni (95')
Nainggolan (78')
Maran (32')
Jan 14, 2020 7.45pm
Inter Milan
4-1
Cagliari
Lukaku (1', 49'), Valero (22'), Ranocchia (81')
Godin (65'), Sensi (94')
Oliva (73')
Lykogiannis (46')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Cowboys
20-15
Giants
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1AC Milan6321147711
2Torino532085311
3Napoli531194510
4Udinese531177010
5Juventus52306069
6Empoli52305239
7Inter Milan522110558
8Lazio52129817
9Atalanta BCAtalanta52031011-16
10Roma51315326
11Hellas VeronaHellas Verona52038806
12Bologna513168-26
13Fiorentina51317706
14Parma512289-15
15Lecce6123311-85
16Como512269-35
17Genoa512247-35
18VeneziaVenezia511338-54
19Monza503246-23
20CagliariCagliari502318-72


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