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Serie A
Hellas Verona logo
Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
Milan logo

Hellas Verona
1 - 3
AC Milan

Faraoni (38')
Faraoni (45+1'), Ilic (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tonali (45+3', 50'), Florenzi (86')
Leao (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hellas Verona

Last Six:
Last Game: Lazio 3-3 Hellas Verona
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

AC Milan

Last Six:
Last Game: Sassuolo 0-3 AC Milan
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Hellas Verona 1-2 AC Milan

 With such a reliable front three, Verona should be fancied to break down even Milan's steadfast back four at some stage, but that may not prove enough to taste victory at the final whistle, given their visitors have lost only a single Serie A away game. The Rossoneri have not been prolific of late, but having Ibrahimovic back on the bench offers an invaluable option to mix things up if the game remains deadlocked in the tense final stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawAC Milan
26.85% (-1.227 -1.23) 24.16% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 48.98% (1.149 1.15)
Both teams to score 56.22% (-1.255 -1.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.27% (-1.201 -1.2)45.72% (1.199 1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.95% (-1.152 -1.15)68.04% (1.151 1.15)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-1.538 -1.54)30.81% (1.533 1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (-1.847 -1.85)67.08% (1.845 1.85)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.25% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)18.75% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.87% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)50.13% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 26.85%
    AC Milan 48.98%
    Draw 24.16%
Hellas VeronaDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 6.8% (0.061 0.06)
2-1 @ 6.7% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-0 @ 4% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.63% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-0 @ 1.57% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 26.85%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.29 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.16%
0-1 @ 9.67% (0.483 0.48)
1-2 @ 9.53% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 8.09% (0.402 0.4)
1-3 @ 5.32% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.52% (0.223 0.22)
2-3 @ 3.13% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-4 @ 2.23% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.89% (0.093 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 48.98%

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs AC Milan

Hellas Verona
14.0%
Draw
10.0%
AC Milan
76.0%
100
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
3-2
Hellas Verona
Giroud (59'), Kessie (76' pen.), Gunter (78' og.)
Ballo-Toure (81')
Caprari (7'), Barak (24' pen.)
Ceccherini (5'), Kalinic (25'), Casale (38'), Veloso (54')
Mar 7, 2021 2pm
Hellas Verona
0-2
AC Milan

Magnani (26'), Bessa (90+3')
Krunic (27'), Dalot (50')
Nov 8, 2020 7.45pm
AC Milan
2-2
Hellas Verona
Magnani (27' og.), Ibrahimovic (90+3')
Bennacer (54')
Barak (6'), Calabria (19' og.)
Ceccherini (33'), Lovato (42'), Tameze (90+1')
Feb 2, 2020 2pm
AC Milan
1-1
Hellas Verona
Calhanoglu (29')
Hernandez (45')
Faraoni (13')
Rrahmani (24'), Pessina (86'), Borini (90'), Silvestri (90')
Amrabat (68')
Sep 15, 2019 7.45pm
Hellas Verona
0-1
AC Milan

Veloso (40'), Gunter (65'), Amrabat (74'), Silvestri (85')
Stepinski (21')
Piatek (68' pen.)
Piatek (24'), Paqueta (35'), Rebic (86')
Calabria (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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