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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 35
May 1, 2022 at 2pm UK
San Siro
Fiorentina logo

AC Milan
1 - 0
Fiorentina

Leao (82')
Bennacer (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Maleh (2'), Venuti (42'), Martinez (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

Last Six:
Last Game: Sassuolo 0-3 AC Milan
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Fiorentina

Last Six:
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Juventus
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-0 Fiorentina

 Milan and Fiorentina have not drawn a Serie A fixture at San Siro since 2014, but this weekend's encounter could be a close-run affair, given the stakes for either side. An aberration against Inter aside, the Rossoneri have been defensively resolute for the past few months, so they can keep their visitors at arm's length and rely on their established ability to nick points by the slimmest of margins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 63.31%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 15.94%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AC Milan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.

Result
AC MilanDrawFiorentina
63.31%20.75%15.94%
Both teams to score 51.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.49%44.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.12%66.88%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.59%13.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.65%40.35%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.11%40.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.55%77.45%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 63.3%
    Fiorentina 15.94%
    Draw 20.75%
AC MilanDrawFiorentina
2-0 @ 11.06%
1-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 9.9%
3-0 @ 7.41%
3-1 @ 6.63%
4-0 @ 3.72%
4-1 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 2.97%
5-0 @ 1.5%
4-2 @ 1.49%
5-1 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 63.3%
1-1 @ 9.85%
0-0 @ 5.48%
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 20.75%
0-1 @ 4.9%
1-2 @ 4.41%
0-2 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 1.32%
1-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 15.94%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Fiorentina

AC Milan
86.0%
Draw
9.0%
Fiorentina
5.0%
100
Head to Head
Nov 20, 2021 7.45pm
Fiorentina
4-3
AC Milan
Duncan (15'), Saponara (45+1'), Vlahovic (60', 85')
Castrovilli (90+5')
Ibrahimovic (62', 67'), Venuti (90+6' og.)
Hernandez (90+5')
Mar 21, 2021 5pm
Fiorentina
2-3
AC Milan
Pulgar (17'), Ribery (51')
Prandelli (65'), Kouame (89')
Ibrahimovic (9'), Diaz (57'), Calhanoglu (72')
Calhanoglu (41'), Dalot (47'), Meite (90+2')
Nov 29, 2020 2pm
AC Milan
2-0
Fiorentina
Romagnoli (17'), Kessie (28' pen.)
Rebic (45+2'), Kessie (71')

Pezzella (25'), Castrovilli (52'), Biraghi (86'), Amrabat (90+1')
Feb 22, 2020 7.45pm
Fiorentina
1-1
AC Milan
Pulgar (85' pen.)
Caceres (76')
Henrique (62')
Rebic (56')
Bennacer (12'), Calhanoglu (25'), Hernandez (85')
Sep 29, 2019 7.45pm
AC Milan
1-3
Fiorentina
Leao (80')
Bennacer (13'), Calabria (86')
Musacchio (55')
Pulgar (14' pen.), Castrovilli (66'), Ribery (78')
Milenkovic (35'), Pezzella (49'), Lirola (86'), Benassi (87')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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