Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 35

May 1, 2022 at 2pm UK

San Siro

AC Milan
1 - 0
Fiorentina

Leao (82')
Bennacer (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Maleh (2'), Venuti (42'), Martinez (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

Last Six:

Last Game: Sassuolo 0-3 AC Milan
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	AC Milan	38	38	86
2	Inter Milan	38	52	84
3	Napoli	38	43	79

Fiorentina

Last Six:

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Juventus
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Roma	38	16	63
7	Fiorentina	38	8	62
8	Atalanta BC	38	17	59

We said: AC Milan 1-0 Fiorentina

Milan and Fiorentina have not drawn a Serie A fixture at San Siro since 2014, but this weekend's encounter could be a close-run affair, given the stakes for either side. An aberration against Inter aside, the Rossoneri have been defensively resolute for the past few months, so they can keep their visitors at arm's length and rely on their established ability to nick points by the slimmest of margins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 63.31%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 15.94%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AC Milan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Fiorentina
63.31%	20.75%	15.94%

Both teams to score 51.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.49%

44.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.12%

66.88%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.59%

13.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.65%

40.35%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.11%

40.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.55%

77.45%

Score Analysis

AC Milan 63.3%

Fiorentina 15.94%

Draw 20.75%

AC Milan	Draw	Fiorentina
2-0 @ 11.06% 1-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 7.41% 3-1 @ 6.63% 4-0 @ 3.72% 4-1 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 2.97% 5-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.49% 5-1 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.94% Total : 63.3%	1-1 @ 9.85% 0-0 @ 5.48% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.99% Total : 20.75%	0-1 @ 4.9% 1-2 @ 4.41% 0-2 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.32% 1-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.8% Total : 15.94%